ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

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TallyTracker
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#21 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Nov 10, 2020 1:57 pm

This is completely nuts...the storms just keep on coming! :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#22 Postby kevin » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:02 pm

Looks quite healthy right now. I have a feeling this one might become a TD sooner than models are showing right now:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#23 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:05 pm

kevin wrote:Looks quite healthy right now. I have a feeling this one might become a TD sooner than models are showing right now:

https://imgur.com/LU5b6LW

The wind shear is higher right now, the chances are 10-70% right now
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#24 Postby bob rulz » Tue Nov 10, 2020 2:53 pm

kevin wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
CyclonicFury wrote:November averages less than one named storm a year, yet here we are...some Novembers don't have any Atlantic TC activity at all (most recently 2006, 2012, 2014 and 2018).

But which season has the most November storm ever recorded?


1931 and 2005 are the only two seasons with 3 storms that formed in November. So if 98L becomes Iota 2020 also joins that list. No season has had more than 3 storms form in November so if somehow another storm forms during the next 20 days besides Iota we would break the November record.


Having a whole half-month to get a 4th storm (assuming this forms, which is likely) in THIS year? I would say chances are pretty high. And I wouldn't rule out a December storm or 2 either.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#25 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:18 pm

I suppose this is one way to learn the Greek Alphabet...(what comes after Iota?) :hmm:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#26 Postby Laminar » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:20 pm

Kappa
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#27 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:21 pm

Like I said earlier...as long as there isn't an OMEGA storm...we will all live :eek: :eek: :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#28 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:22 pm

Laminar wrote:Kappa

There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#29 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:26 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:Like I said earlier...as long as there isn't an OMEGA storm...we will all live :eek: :eek: :eek:


Please tell me we are not going to exaust the Greek naming list with Omega. (I REALLY hope it's not the literal OMEGA storm.)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#30 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:27 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Laminar wrote:Kappa

There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.

I have several nicknames for the names:

GONEzalo
Micro Marco
Dangerous Delta
EPICsilon
Zooming Zeta
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#31 Postby galaxy401 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 6:48 pm

Up to 20/80 now.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico just
offshore the coast of western Cuba, and on Tropical Storm Theta,
located over the eastern Atlantic.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is
expected to move slowly westward into more conducive environmental
conditions over the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend when the wave reaches
the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development,
this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible
flash flooding to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of
Hispaniola over the next couple of days. For more detailed
information, refer to products issued by your local weather
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#32 Postby underthwx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 6:56 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Laminar wrote:Kappa

There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.

Whole lotta rosie.....(AC/DC)....or something from Animal House....Lambda Lambda Lambda...or maybe a Dr.Suess storm name list....Thing 1, Thing 2, and so on....after all, what's in a name.... I sure hope that the Greek alphabet won't be used in it's entirety...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#33 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 7:24 pm

underthwx wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Laminar wrote:Kappa

There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.

Whole lotta rosie.....(AC/DC)....or something from Animal House....Lambda Lambda Lambda...or maybe a Dr.Suess storm name list....Thing 1, Thing 2, and so on....after all, what's in a name.... I sure hope that the Greek alphabet won't be used in it's entirety...



This is what I was think for the entire 2020 season nicknames:

GONEzalo
Micro Marco
Dangerous Delta
EPICsilon
Zooming Zeta
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#34 Postby underthwx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 7:32 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
underthwx wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.

Whole lotta rosie.....(AC/DC)....or something from Animal House....Lambda Lambda Lambda...or maybe a Dr.Suess storm name list....Thing 1, Thing 2, and so on....after all, what's in a name.... I sure hope that the Greek alphabet won't be used in it's entirety...



This is what I was think for the entire 2020 season nicknames:

GONEzalo
Micro Marco
Dangerous Delta
EPICsilon
Zooming Zeta

I like it!...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#35 Postby NorthieStangl » Tue Nov 10, 2020 7:41 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Laminar wrote:Kappa

There has to be a Fraternity or Sorority joke in here somewhere.


I have a lot of Facebook friends that were a part of one specific sorority. I made a post just before Zeta made landfall that went like this "Would my friends that are Delta Zeta sisters please tell your sorority to leave Louisiana alone? Wasn't Delta enough?!"

Unnecessary to say, I got a lot of smack for that.
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ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#36 Postby Wampadawg » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:53 pm

Perhaps the 2020 season will just roll in 2021 without a gap :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#37 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 9:18 pm

Still at 30 mph & 1009 MB
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#38 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Nov 11, 2020 12:55 am

1. A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is
expected to move slowly westward into more conducive environmental
conditions over the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend when the wave reaches
the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development,
this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible
flash flooding to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of
Hispaniola over the next couple of days. For more detailed
information, refer to products issued by your local weather
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#39 Postby kevin » Wed Nov 11, 2020 5:15 am

Wow, MPI in the Caribbean is insanely high at the moment, even better than it was during Delta or Eta if I recall correctly. Whatever happens to 98L, it's not gonna be the MPI that will limit this system.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#40 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 11, 2020 6:47 am

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is
expected to move slowly westward into more conducive environmental
conditions over the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend when the disturbance
reaches the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall along
with possible flash flooding to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
portions of Hispaniola over the next day or so. For more detailed
information, refer to products issued by your local weather office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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