ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[toad strangler]

Caribbean graveyard right on time...

What does that mean?

He's referencing what is usually a very bad environment this time of the year in the Caribbean Sea. It has the nickname "the Graveyard" kinda like the GA's are "The Shredder" "CHeese Grater", etc.

[InfernoFlameCat]

What exactly is DMIN and DMAX

[tolakram]

Easy with the comments people. It's not dying, it's not doing RI at the moment. It's ok.

saved loop

[Sanibel]

Max Flight Wind 66KT...

[AutoPenalti]

Caribbean graveyard right on time...

What does that mean?

Means it's going to die off and become an open wave like the Euro has long been depicting. King Euro wins.

As you can see though, and as the HWRF also showed, dry air entertainment from the NW.

[eastcoastFL]

Caribbean graveyard right on time...

What does that mean?

He's referencing what is usually a very bad environment this time of the year in the Caribbean Sea. It has the nickname "the Graveyard" kinda like the GA's are "The Shredder" "CHeese Grater", etc.

I knew the shredder but the graveyard I hadn’t heard before. Looks like Elsa is going to skip that and the shredder. She’s got other plans.

[eastcoastFL]

Caribbean graveyard right on time...

What does that mean?

Means it's going to die off and become an open wave like the Euro has long been depicting. King Euro wins.

As you can see though, and as the HWRF also showed, dry air entertainment from the NW.

She’ll shrug off that dry air in 6 hours or so and wave to the Euro as she passes south of DR

[eastcoastFL]

You can see the dry air to the NW bumping into Elsa. Seems like a small speed bump that will be short lived

[AveryTheComrade]

If Elsa does follow the HWRF relatively closely as it has been doing for most of its life so far then it seems like it could be the first major in July in 13 years

[Blown Away]

An hour ago Elsa was at 13.99N and she is steady climbing. NHC at 11am forecasted Elsa to cross 14.6N later tonight, IMO Elsa will cross that mark very soon.

[Ubuntwo]

An hour ago Elsa was at 13.99N and she is steady climbing. NHC at 11am forecasted Elsa to cross 14.6N later tonight, IMO Elsa will cross that mark very soon.

Looks to be at about 14.1N based on radar edge returns.

[AutoPenalti]

Shes north of the track.

[Cat5James]

Shes north of the track.

Elsa might get closer to that shredder then we thought

[eastcoastFL]

That northern eyeball type feature really formed fast as she approached Barbados this morning

[Cat5James]

I do remember the "shredder" helping Isaias consolidate but that was a different situation of course

[toad strangler]

Shes north of the track.

Elsa might get closer to that shredder then we thought

Shredder Chain is like having the best Defensive Line in the NFL.

[GCANE]

GCANE! Where've ya been? Good to see you back with your "future history today" observations...

Much thanks Craters. Hope all is well with you.

Also glad to see you around, I always learn so much about CAPE. Ready for your illustrations.

Much thanks eastcoastFL

[AutoPenalti]

Shes north of the track.

Elsa might get closer to that shredder then we thought

Maybe, but it's still too far away to know.

[Cat5James]

Shes north of the track.

Elsa might get closer to that shredder then we thought

Maybe, but it's still too far away to know.

After checking back on IR she now appears to be moving more WNW again

[AveryTheComrade]

Looks like Elsa might be turning mildly towards the south on the latest frames?