ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

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[tolakram]

Hurricane Track LIVE coverage
[youtube]https://youtu.be/jtUHGvDBfC4[/youtube]

[chris_fit]

I have it moving inland near Apalachicola, FL late Sunday evening at 50 kts. Probably a better chance of moving inland farther west than farther east. Not too much farther west, though.

From about a week ago - Well Done Sir, well done.....again

[ElectricStorm]

Not too far away from landfall now. Should be in the next hour or two

[Blown Away]

I have it moving inland near Apalachicola, FL late Sunday evening at 50 kts. Probably a better chance of moving inland farther west than farther east. Not too much farther west, though.

From about a week ago - Well Done Sir, well done.....again

Did he stick to his prediction when it was shifting west??

[tolakram]

Looks to be taking a right turn, or decoupling.

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/JakeCarstens/status/1427335692603072526

[edu2703]

791
WTNT61 KNHC 161913
TCUAT1

Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
215 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FRED MAKES LANDFALL IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

National Weather Service WSR-88D radar data indicate that the
center of Tropical Storm Fred has made landfall near Cape San
Blas, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near
65 mph (100 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 215 PM CDT...1915 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 85.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

[TallyTracker]

Noticed NHC is reporting a NNE motion now. Looks like the center will be moving along and to the east of the Apalachicola River.

[sbtaylor59]

St George Island WeatherStem is reporting SSE winds of 53 MPH, gusts to 65: https://franklin.weatherstem.com/sgibridge

[Mob1]

Apalachicola currently has winds of 49 mph with gusts to 63 mph

[ScottNAtlanta]

The first rain bands have arrived in the Atlanta Metro...it is going to be a very wet couple of days

[Sciencerocks]

[Dean4Storms]

Fortunately Fred went well east of us here in Miramar Bch. and Destin area. Light rain and only winds in the 20 to 30mph range.

[IcyTundra]

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1427359882144063494





Model verification for Fred

[Category5Kaiju]

https://twitter.com/JakeCarstens/status/1427335692603072526?s=20

Creepy to see some of the trees still downed from Michael.

[Dean4Storms]

Unless Grace strengthens more than currently forecast we'll be into the G storm and latter half of August with just a small June Cat. 1 hurricane.

[Blown Away]

Unless Grace strengthens more than currently forecast we'll be into the G storm and latter half of August with just a small June Cat. 1 hurricane.

Henri not forecasted to become a hurricane and Grace forecasted to barely make hurricane status at 75 mph. Definitely the conditions are not great in the Atlantic basin, but it is only August 16th, so it’s not expected at this point.