ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

[Weatherboy1]

Looks darn close to a “PTC” designation to me, FWIW

[AxaltaRacing24]

Looks darn close to a “PTC” designation to me, FWIW

Hell, that looks like a TD.

[captainbarbossa19]

Looks darn close to a “PTC” designation to me, FWIW

Hell, that looks like a TD.

It's a shame we have to wait so long for recon. This seems to be organizing quite well today.

[msbee]

We just need PTC designation, just to make sure the islands are prepared for squally conditions

I think 94L will go well south of where I am, St Maarten. But we are on alert.
This is a recent update from one of our meteorologists:

"Quick 2pm Tropical Update -- Mon 9 Aug 2021:
...Effects to SSS Islands from tonight...
The tropical wave approaching the Eastern Caribbean now has a high (80%) chance of developing -- most likely by tonight.
> This system could develop into a tropical depression within short notice -- as it approaches the local region.
> Regardless of development: Showers, Gusty Winds, High Seas, Thunder/Lightning, and possible Street-Flooding are expected tonight into Tuesday across the SSS Islands (St. Maarten-Saba-St. Eustatius).
...Effects can be felt from this afternoon for other islands -- especially the Southern Caribbean.
> We will continue to monitor its progress ."

Also Meteo France has the French part of the island under yellow vigilance for heavy rains and thunderstorms
https://meteofrance.gp/fr/vigilance/sai ... barthelemy

[SunnyThoughts]

Looks darn close to a “PTC” designation to me, FWIW

Hell, that looks like a TD.

If not more.

[Hurricaneman]

Looking at things, a ptc designation is probable but this could certainly qualify as a depression

[chaser1]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

[NDG]

PTC coming at 5 PM.

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1424825394276929551

[captainbarbossa19]

PTC coming at 5 PM.

I am guessing that they will not upgrade it to a TD due to no recon?

[chaser1]

Only reason I could see holding off on the PTC designation might be NHC confidence of probably upgrading this to TD status at 5:00pm anyway.

Edit: LOL, well scratch that thought. Just saw the post from 3 minutes ago about PTC @ 5:00PM

[caneseddy]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

I think it was an attempt at humor being that Fred and Wilma were the husband and wife from the Flintstones

Anyway back to the 94L. Looks quite impressive but to soon to tell what if anything will impact South Florida but it is a sign that the meat of the hurricane season is around the corner

[sma10]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

You haven't looked hard enough Chaser.

You are certain that there is no historical connection between Fred and Wilma?

[BobHarlem]

The 5PM Track may put Florida in or close to the cone. (Keys and/or South Florida)

[Hypercane_Kyle]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

Fred & Wilma. Flintstones.

[AtlanticWind]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

Fred and Wilma Flinstone

[chaser1]

In regards to future-Fred, perhaps the most ominous sign for S FL is its historical connection to Wilma.

What??? I can't think of any historical, geographical, or chronological connection between 94L and Wilma. The only thing in common might be that neither system originated from Subtropical origin? You must have been trying to make a point before the squirrel ran across the yard

You haven't looked hard enough Chaser.

You are certain that there is no historical connection between Fred and Wilma?

The Flintstones?? I thought you were being literal.
Okay, I'll give you that one

[AlphaToOmega]

Special Message from NHC Issued 9 Aug 2021 20:10 UTC
NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six, located just east of the Lesser Antillies, at 500 PM AST (2100 UTC).

[ScottNAtlanta]

OK...my right said Fred composition

I'm too sexy for Barbados
too sexy for Barbados
More than sexy enough
I'm too sexy for St Marteen
too sexy for St Marteen
or the Caribbean

I'm a Big Storm
you know what I mean
as I do my little spin by the Islands
by the Islands
by the Islands yeah
I do my little spin by the Islands

I'm too sexy for the East Coast
too sexy for the East Coast
Bermuda at most.

[floridasun78]

i bet first cone will have half fl under the cone