ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Ken711]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

It'll be interesting to see what the 18Z runs show, if they also see what the Euro is forecasting off of the mid-Atlantic coast.

[AtlanticWind]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis

Structure looks better to me.

[Nimbus]

Definitely going to miss tip of Cuba. Circ appears to be getting better defined as well. Should also be getting its southerly inflow again soon as it is nearly past jamaica. hopefully 18z models will have enough position data to go off of. otherwise we can throw them out too.

https://i.ibb.co/mzkSSXH/ezgif-com-gif-maker-37.gif

Lots of lightning strikes in the feeder band west of Jamaica but core inflow was disrupted by Maxaya peak last night. New core feature drilling down from the midlevels could take till western Cuba to bloom. They are tracking something moving NW now?

[AveryTheComrade]

I cannot wrap my head around this godforsaken storm, what is it doing, is that an eye feature??

[Category5Kaiju]

At this point, I just want Elsa to just disappear. Shear, dry air, land, anybody. Just get rid of this nonsensical storm lurking in the Atlantic. I look forward to later this month or August when we get to track a system that behaves more straightforwardly.

[presidentofyes12]

Elsa is, by far, the most convoluted hurricane I've ever actively observed

[AutoPenalti]

I just finished washing my car in 92 degree heat, what did I miss?

[NDG]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

Is showing a tropical storm hitting FL so what about it.

[aspen]

I just finished washing my car in 92 degree heat, what did I miss?

Oof, that doesn’t sound fun.

Well Elsa seems to have an eye on visible. Recon won’t leave until 4pm, so we have no idea if it’s still a 1010+ mbar anomaly or if it has actually strengthened.

[nativefloridian]

I just finished washing my car in 92 degree heat, what did I miss?

[cane5]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

Is showing a tropical storm hitting FL so what about it.

We’re all in suspense ?

[Category5Kaiju]

 https://twitter.com/AnthonyDuarte03/status/1411769989057679371




Elsa, I swear, you are going to make me pull my hair out in frustration

[cane5]

Aunt Elsa looks like she can pack a punch, doubt her and she comes roaring back

[Sanibel]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

Euro strengthens the Bermuda High just enough to keep it out in the Gulf and clear of Sanibel Island...Elsa then turns towards Florida after passing Sanibel...

[cane5]

Aunt Elsa looks like she can pack a punch, doubt her and she comes roaring back

[kevin]

There are a lot of words to describe Elsa, but quitter isn't one of them. After all the setbacks she had so far I thought there wouldn't be much more than a tropical wave by now but she's actually still trying to get organized.

[NDG]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

Is showing a tropical storm hitting FL so what about it.

We’re all in suspense ?

I should had said: “Is finally showing a tropical storm hitting FL…”

[Sanibel]

Elsa is a weird one it has the ghost banding and structure of much more dangerous storms but the guts, when measured, show the opposite...

[tiger_deF]

Huge 2020 similarities with the bevy of "weaker" early season storms that just do not quit even when it looks otherwise

[cane5]

If you haven’t checked the model thread, you may want to see the 12z Euro that just came out.

Euro strengthens the Bermuda High just enough to keep it out in the Gulf and clear of Sanibel Island...Elsa then turns towards Florida after passing Sanibel...

I think if that happens its because of the traugh moving across tampa. And a slight weakness in the ridge.