ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Still with a broad CoC at the surface, pressures barely falling.

[RBDnhm]

With it slowing down over East texas, the big story may be delayed flooding downstream of the Trinity, Neches and Sabine River….all counties east of Houston

Nicholas stalling over Texas would put the Houston area in a bad situation with flooding like what happened with Harvey.

So, are you predicting historical flooding for East Texas? Why refer to Harvey unless there is an indication this will stall and create historical (now 56+ inches in a storm) rainfall. Please leave Harvey out of this, unless it is Nicholas to stall. I am a Harvey victim.

[Steve]

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

[Wampadawg]

With it slowing down over East texas, the big story may be delayed flooding downstream of the Trinity, Neches and Sabine River….all counties east of Houston

Nicholas stalling over Texas would put the Houston area in a bad situation with flooding like what happened with Harvey.

So, are you predicting historical flooding for East Texas? Why refer to Harvey unless there is an indication this will stall and create historical (now 56+ inches in a storm) rainfall. Please leave Harvey out of this, unless it is Nicholas to stall. I am a Harvey victim.

Yes too many references to past storms each one is different with their own challenges. Lets see how Nick plays out…hopefully blows through quickly and does not stall

[Wampadawg]

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

[Garnetcat5]

With it slowing down over East texas, the big story may be delayed flooding downstream of the Trinity, Neches and Sabine River….all counties east of Houston

Nicholas stalling over Texas would put the Houston area in a bad situation with flooding like what happened with Harvey.

So, are you predicting historical flooding for East Texas? Why refer to Harvey unless there is an indication this will stall and create historical (now 56+ inches in a storm) rainfall. Please leave Harvey out of this, unless it is Nicholas to stall. I am a Harvey victim.

Yep I am shaking and considering getting out tomorrow morning. I am in southwest Houston in northern fort bend and I am pretty much freaking out. Stayed for Ike but after Harvey I am broken.

[Cpv17]

The Euro op shows a stall, GEFS has many members that show a stall, and the EPS has many members that show a stall as well.

[aspen]

We’re now playing another game of “Where The Hell is the LLC?”

As if Fred and Grace weren’t enough.

[grapealcoholic]

Recon data seems to indicate a center reformation is still ongoing

[Jevo]

Webcam at the SpaceX Boca Chica site close to Brownsville

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhJRzQsLZGg

[tropicwatch]

Seems like recon is having comm issues again.

[Steve]

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

Word. We just got back to New Orleans yesterday so we didn’t know we got roof damage. But with no doubt abundant moisture way far to the east side of the system getting fed in and pumped up, rest assured we are on the blue tarp waiting list. Currently it’s alternating towels in the attic every 10 or so minutes. Luckily the rain here isn’t that hard

Oh and groceries here are spotty at all stores. Not terrible for 2 weeks later but could be vastly better. 35% of normal merch?

[ElectricStorm]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nicholas Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
700 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

...NICHOLAS MOVING LITTLE AT THIS TIME...
...EXPECTED TO HEAD FOR THE TEXAS COAST LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 95.5W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[hipshot]

Webcam at the SpaceX Boca Chica site close to Brownsville

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhJRzQsLZGg

So what is this supposed to be showing? I know they could be in the bull's eye.

[ajurcat]

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

Earlier we were at a Home Depot in NW Houston and it was basically empty. We were totally surprised.

[loon]

No one in Houston best I can tell are paying any attention to this. Definitely it acting like a storm is coming. Biz as usual, for now.

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

Earlier we were at a Home Depot in NW Houston and it was basically empty. We were totally surprised.

[Iceresistance]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nicholas Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
700 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

...NICHOLAS MOVING LITTLE AT THIS TIME...
...EXPECTED TO HEAD FOR THE TEXAS COAST LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 95.5W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

Surely Nicholas is moving a LOT faster than that!

[SoupBone]

Lol. Just got out of the attic of the family house I’m staying at with several roof leaks from Ida (that side of the house faces SW/WSW ). Thanks Nick

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

Earlier we were at a Home Depot in NW Houston and it was basically empty. We were totally surprised.

This is because of Ida, not Nicholas. Lots of family bought stuff from here and transported it to Louisiana.

[hipshot]

Lol i am sure all the shelves emptied in Houston and all the tarps disappeared at Home Depot

Earlier we were at a Home Depot in NW Houston and it was basically empty. We were totally surprised.

This is because of Ida, not Nicholas. Lots of family bought stuff from here and transported it to Louisiana.

Do you mean no customers or no merchandise when you say "basically empty"?

[grapealcoholic]

Still no organized center. Wouldn't put too much weight on any model solution