ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

Well, well, well, looky at what we have here .... 2021 gonna 2021

Gonna be a fun year. Hopefully this is the last threat to Florida for the season…

[Category5Kaiju]

A hurricane hitting Tampa or a very close region in early July was definitely something I was not expecting this year.

[AdamFirst]

Eerily quiet here in St. Pete. Winds slowly picking up, but dry. Weirdest lead up to a storm I’ve experienced. Can’t believe we’re six hours away from the worst of it.

You're gonna get the thick of it in the overnight hours. Stay safe!

[Michele B]

Pressure's down a couple millibars since the 5 pm advisory.

This is going to sound crazy, but I have a CAT who HATES bad weather! I mean, I think he actually "feels it" when the barometric pressure drops. I know someone who gets a bad headache whenever there is a storm nearby, so I guess it's the same concept. Whenever weather moves in, such as this, and the baro drops, he meows piteously and pathetically. He's doing it now. We are due east of the storm, and here it is a hurricane now and it's at the closest point it will be to us. I just checked the baro pressure, and sure enough, it's lower now than it has been all day! In fact, a pretty good squall just blew up here. Since he just woke up and started yowling, I guess he "felt" that squall coming!

Sorry to be OT, but it's pretty funny.

[hipshot]

saved loop
https://imgur.com/HPHk7QD

Is that a dry slot or an eye trying to form?

[toad strangler]

Well, well, well, looky at what we have here .... 2021 gonna 2021

Gonna be a fun year. Hopefully this is the last threat to Florida for the season…

I don't root for nothin. Just observe. Nothing I can say or do will change anything!

It's been quite amazing watching Elsa tough it out all the way across the basin. One for the books no doubt.

[johngaltfla]

A hurricane hitting Tampa or a very close region in early July was definitely something I was not expecting this year.

Definitely not on my bingo card. Makes me want to buy more cards for September and October.

[USTropics]

Recon only finding pressures ~1001mb.

EDIT: 40 mph SFMR, so more likely ~996mb.

They've sampled the SW side of the LLC, winds will definitely be higher in the NE quadrant:

[Evenstar]

One aspect of its that's been something of a bust so far thankfully is the lack of tornadoes. We had that one tornado-warned storm early this afternoon in Highlands County but that's been it so far. And with the sun going down that will take one element out of the equation.

What makes you think the tornado threat goes away when the sun goes down. It sure as hell doesn't here in Texas!

I chase in Tornado Alley every spring and the worst one I've seen was in the dark of night, illuminated only by its own lightning. It killed 3 people.

Like honey badgers and hurricanes, a tornado don't care.

[drewschmaltz]

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42013

[ElectricStorm]

1002mb with 41kt wind on the eye dropsonde. Should be good for around 998mb.

[aspen]

Recon only finding pressures ~1001mb.

EDIT: 40 mph SFMR, so more likely ~996mb.

They've sampled the SW side of the LLC, winds will definitely be higher in the NE quadrant:

https://i.imgur.com/pYB31rK.png

Maybe Elsa is attempting to reform the LLC underneath the MLC? Judging by the fact that recon found an LLC displaced from the “eyewall”, it seems to be just an MLC feature.

[tolakram]

I'm guessing the CoC is getting pulled NE toward a new area of deeper convection.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Radar is definitely starting to look sloppy now, looks less "tight" than a few hours ago. Still fighting shear and dry air.

[toad strangler]

Elsa is so very small. She can't fling an outer band all the way across the skinny peninsula to the EAST with any gusto.

[StormPyrate]

anyone in Sarasota how is it there?

[Sanibel]

Wind shift to SSE...Strong gusts...

[eastcoastFL]

Well, well, well, looky at what we have here .... 2021 gonna 2021

Gonna be a fun year. Hopefully this is the last threat to Florida for the season…

I don't root for nothin. Just observe. Nothing I can say or do will change anything!

It's been quite amazing watching Elsa tough it out all the way across the basin. One for the books no doubt.

I was being sarcastic about it being fun. I’d just like to track some fish now.

[toad strangler]

WOW 135 years since a July landfall in this area.

 http://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/1412564953626824706

[eastcoastFL]

Elsa is so very small. She can't fling an outer band all the way across the skinny peninsula to the EAST with any gusto.

Before she decided to wrap up and get herself back together there was weather all over. But now it’s going to be all the west coast until she crosses.