96P INVEST 210423 1800 28.0S 142.0W SHEM 15 0
sh962021 INVEST 20210423 1800 -28.4 -142.2 P SS 35 1006
SPAC: INVEST 96P
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SPAC: INVEST 96P
Last edited by Subtrop on Fri Apr 23, 2021 7:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: SPAC: INVEST 96P
TROPICAL CYCLONE POTENTIAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF NEW ZEALAND AT 2336 UTC 23-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC SUN 25-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC WED 28-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Sun 25-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC SUN 25-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC WED 28-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Sun 25-Apr-2021
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Re: SPAC: INVEST 96P
ABPW10 PGTW 240000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240000Z-240600ZAPR2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZAPR2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 23APR21 1800Z, SUBTROPICAL STORM 02W (SURIGAE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 130.5E, APPROXIMATELY 247 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA
AB, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO
75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
28.4S 142.2W, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHEAST OF PAPEETE, FRENCH
POLYNESIA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM,
GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE
CYCLONE FEATURES. A RECENT 231856Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS A SWATH OF
35 TO 40 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD ASYMMETRIC SYSTEM
WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED DIRECTLY UNDER A BROAD UPPER-
LEVEL COLD CORE LOW. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT DUE TO CONVERGENCE ALOFT, ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW,
AND COOL (25-26 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WHICH ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL TRANSITION. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A GENERAL
SOUTHWARD TRACK WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 36-48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 TO 40
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN
DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED
FORECAST AUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM AS LOW IN
PARAGRAPH 2.C.(1).//
NNNN
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240000Z-240600ZAPR2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZAPR2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 23APR21 1800Z, SUBTROPICAL STORM 02W (SURIGAE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 130.5E, APPROXIMATELY 247 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA
AB, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO
75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
28.4S 142.2W, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHEAST OF PAPEETE, FRENCH
POLYNESIA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM,
GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE
CYCLONE FEATURES. A RECENT 231856Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS A SWATH OF
35 TO 40 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD ASYMMETRIC SYSTEM
WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED DIRECTLY UNDER A BROAD UPPER-
LEVEL COLD CORE LOW. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT DUE TO CONVERGENCE ALOFT, ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW,
AND COOL (25-26 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WHICH ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL TRANSITION. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A GENERAL
SOUTHWARD TRACK WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 36-48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 TO 40
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN
DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED
FORECAST AUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM AS LOW IN
PARAGRAPH 2.C.(1).//
NNNN
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Re: SPAC: INVEST 96P
TROPICAL CYCLONE POTENTIAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF NEW ZEALAND AT 2313 UTC 24-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC MON 26-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC THU 29-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Mon 26-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC MON 26-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC THU 29-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Mon 26-Apr-2021
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Re: SPAC: INVEST 96P
TROPICAL CYCLONE POTENTIAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF NEW ZEALAND AT 2218 UTC 25-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC TUE 27-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC FRI 30-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Tue 27-Apr-2021
CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South
Pacific areas.
FORECAST TO 1200 UTC TUE 27-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
OUTLOOK UNTIL 1200 UTC FRI 30-APR-2021
No tropical cyclones are expected.
The next bulletin will be issued by 0000 UTC Tue 27-Apr-2021
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