ATL: DANNY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#161 Postby Jr0d » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:01 pm

A bit surprised by the blow up right along the coast, I can't help but wonder if this was helped by the daytime heating on shore.

Sure we have had 4 named systems, but the overall ACE is relatively low.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#162 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:17 pm

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#163 Postby Ubuntwo » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:19 pm

Looks like pressure has risen a couple mb on the most recent pass as convection wanes again.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#164 Postby Nuno » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:23 pm

Jr0d wrote:A bit surprised by the blow up right along the coast, I can't help but wonder if this was helped by the daytime heating on shore.

Sure we have had 4 named systems, but the overall ACE is relatively low.


That's because ACE is an absolutely terrible metric to measure storms close to the coast or with short lifespans, and we've more or less had close-to-home formations.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#165 Postby Nimbus » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:25 pm

Before radar observations I wonder if a storm this size would even be recognized?
They might have passed it off as afternoon thunderstorms.
Quite a lot of lightning strikes in some of the squalls and its not unknown to get a tornado with a tropical storm.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#166 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:30 pm

I for one am glad we have the technology to catch these brief little storms; it's unfortunate that actual accurate yearly storm counts are accurate only as far back as the modern tech letting us catch 'em but eh that's the march of science.

2017 began with a record low ACE for the first five storms so early season brief storms certainly doesn't mean that'll continue; rather, it's extremely impressive that this year like last year is allowing nearly everything to spin up.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#167 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:52 pm

Max wind at Hilton Head still about 15 kts. Heaviest squalls are now inland. I see a weak vortex still offshore (one of at least 2). This thing doesn't have sustained TS winds circulating around a center.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#168 Postby Cat5James » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:56 pm

wxman57 wrote:Max wind at Hilton Head still about 15 kts. Heaviest squalls are now inland. I see a weak vortex still offshore (one of at least 2). This thing doesn't have sustained TS winds.

Have you checked Edisto beach?
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#169 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:58 pm

Cat5James wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Max wind at Hilton Head still about 15 kts. Heaviest squalls are now inland. I see a weak vortex still offshore (one of at least 2). This thing doesn't have sustained TS winds.

Have you checked Edisto beach?


What's the ICAO? Found it - KJZI - max wind 21 kts gusting 27 kts.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#170 Postby toad strangler » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:01 pm

Right now, somewhere, JB is claiming victory with his 2021 entire US coastline is above average vulnerable map.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#171 Postby LarryWx » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:06 pm

As of 4 PM: NE winds 26 gusting to 29 knots

FOLLY BEACH CMAN 2000 79 50/ 26/ 29 1018.1F
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#172 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:09 pm

Center not onshore yet.

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#173 Postby LarryWx » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:12 pm

Center aiming for Hilton Head. Thunderstorms again here in SAV now with this next band. Skies are pretty dark.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#174 Postby Hammy » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:21 pm

Surprised we got a named storm out of this, especially given the satellite appearance this morning. Really looked like it had missed it's chance to get upgraded.

Can't remember the last time we've had something track W-WNW this long from that far north of a starting point.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#175 Postby Steve » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:31 pm

LarryWx wrote:Center aiming for Hilton Head...


Liable to ruin some mulched gardens.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#176 Postby LarryWx » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:32 pm

 This 2nd Danny band is a doozy here in SAV, Ga, with lots of CTG lightning (some very close hits) and heavy rains.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#177 Postby toad strangler » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:43 pm

Hammy wrote:Surprised we got a named storm out of this, especially given the satellite appearance this morning. Really looked like it had missed it's chance to get upgraded.

Can't remember the last time we've had something track W-WNW this long from that far north of a starting point.


That's a interesting observation IRT the lengthy WNW track in the true sub tropics.
Radar returns show in nice detail the tropical structure of Danny but..... The heaviest weather is West and SW of the center. Typically you would expect it to be weighted far to the E and NE of center.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#178 Postby Mouton » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:49 pm

IMO, if they name every storm the equal of this during the season, we have a shot at getting through the Greek Alphabet. :( :(
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#179 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Jun 28, 2021 5:56 pm

Hammy wrote:Surprised we got a named storm out of this, especially given the satellite appearance this morning. Really looked like it had missed it's chance to get upgraded.

Can't remember the last time we've had something track W-WNW this long from that far north of a starting point.


It has been a tropical cyclones for the past 24-30 hours and was probably a 45-50 knot Tropical storm at one point last night. It was clear to me that recon was going to find it as a tropical storm! ;)
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#180 Postby aspen » Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:02 pm

Sciencerocks wrote:
Hammy wrote:Surprised we got a named storm out of this, especially given the satellite appearance this morning. Really looked like it had missed it's chance to get upgraded.

Can't remember the last time we've had something track W-WNW this long from that far north of a starting point.


It has been a tropical cyclones for the past 24-30 hours and was probably a 45-50 knot Tropical storm at one point last night. It was clear to me that recon was going to find it as a tropical storm! ;)

Speaking of which, I think there’s a good chance Danny is found to have developed on the 27th in its post-season report. There was a pretty good LLC yesterday, and convection was better organized at times. Not sure about it being a TS earlier than today, though.
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