ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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AlphaToOmega
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#4641 Postby AlphaToOmega » Sat Jul 10, 2021 12:06 pm

Here is the best track data for Hurricane Elsa as of now. Post-season analysis is coming, and a few changes might be made. Overall, Hurricane Elsa is going to kept at hurricane status due to its operational peak intensity of 75 knots.

AL, 05, 2021063018, , BEST, 0, 94N, 428W, 30, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 140, 70, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010, TRANSITIONED, alA72021 to al052021,
AL, 05, 2021070100, , BEST, 0, 93N, 453W, 30, 1008, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 140, 30, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, FIVE, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070106, , BEST, 0, 94N, 477W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 0, 0, 90, 1012, 180, 50, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070112, , BEST, 0, 99N, 502W, 40, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 70, 0, 80, 1012, 180, 60, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070118, , BEST, 0, 107N, 526W, 40, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 70, 0, 80, 1011, 180, 60, 50, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070200, , BEST, 0, 114N, 547W, 45, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 100, 0, 110, 1012, 180, 50, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 180, 30, 0, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070206, , BEST, 0, 123N, 573W, 50, 1001, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 100, 0, 110, 1012, 180, 40, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 210, 75, 0, 75, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070206, , BEST, 0, 123N, 573W, 50, 1001, TS, 50, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 180, 40, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 210, 75, 0, 75, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070212, , BEST, 0, 130N, 598W, 65, 995, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 100, 0, 110, 1012, 140, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 240, 120, 30, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070212, , BEST, 0, 130N, 598W, 65, 995, HU, 50, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 30, 1012, 140, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 240, 120, 30, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070212, , BEST, 0, 130N, 598W, 65, 995, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1012, 140, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 240, 120, 30, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070218, , BEST, 0, 138N, 624W, 75, 991, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 100, 30, 110, 1012, 140, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070218, , BEST, 0, 138N, 624W, 75, 991, HU, 50, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 30, 1012, 140, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070218, , BEST, 0, 138N, 624W, 75, 991, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1012, 140, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070300, , BEST, 0, 145N, 651W, 70, 995, HU, 34, NEQ, 130, 120, 30, 120, 1012, 140, 15, 85, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070300, , BEST, 0, 145N, 651W, 70, 995, HU, 50, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 40, 1012, 140, 15, 85, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070300, , BEST, 0, 145N, 651W, 70, 995, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1012, 140, 15, 85, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 679W, 65, 998, HU, 34, NEQ, 110, 100, 30, 100, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 679W, 65, 998, HU, 50, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 40, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 679W, 65, 998, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 30, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070312, , BEST, 0, 166N, 703W, 65, 999, HU, 34, NEQ, 110, 100, 30, 100, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 210, 150, 60, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070312, , BEST, 0, 166N, 703W, 65, 999, HU, 50, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 40, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 210, 150, 60, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070312, , BEST, 0, 166N, 703W, 65, 999, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 140, 15, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 210, 150, 60, 120, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070318, , BEST, 0, 173N, 727W, 60, 1001, TS, 34, NEQ, 110, 100, 30, 100, 1011, 140, 30, 75, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 60, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070318, , BEST, 0, 173N, 727W, 60, 1001, TS, 50, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 40, 1011, 140, 30, 75, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, M, 12, NEQ, 240, 150, 60, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070400, , BEST, 0, 176N, 744W, 55, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 110, 100, 30, 100, 1011, 140, 25, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 180, 90, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070400, , BEST, 0, 176N, 744W, 55, 1004, TS, 50, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 40, 1011, 140, 25, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 180, 90, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070406, , BEST, 0, 180N, 755W, 55, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 110, 80, 40, 100, 1010, 100, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 90, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070406, , BEST, 0, 180N, 755W, 55, 1006, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 0, 0, 40, 1010, 100, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 90, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070412, , BEST, 0, 185N, 765W, 50, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 80, 40, 100, 1011, 90, 20, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 75, 105, 60, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070412, , BEST, 0, 185N, 765W, 50, 1008, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 0, 0, 40, 1011, 90, 20, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 75, 105, 60, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070418, , BEST, 0, 193N, 776W, 50, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 80, 40, 80, 1013, 90, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070418, , BEST, 0, 193N, 776W, 50, 1007, TS, 50, NEQ, 50, 0, 0, 40, 1013, 90, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070500, , BEST, 0, 201N, 786W, 55, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 50, 20, 70, 1013, 90, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070500, , BEST, 0, 201N, 786W, 55, 1005, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 20, 1013, 90, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070506, , BEST, 0, 207N, 796W, 55, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 0, 50, 1012, 110, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070506, , BEST, 0, 207N, 796W, 55, 1004, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1012, 110, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070512, , BEST, 0, 213N, 808W, 55, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 0, 50, 1012, 100, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070512, , BEST, 0, 213N, 808W, 55, 1006, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 15, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070518, , BEST, 0, 221N, 815W, 50, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 0, 50, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070518, , BEST, 0, 221N, 815W, 50, 1007, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070600, , BEST, 0, 229N, 820W, 50, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 30, 0, 50, 1013, 90, 15, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070600, , BEST, 0, 229N, 820W, 50, 1007, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 90, 15, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070606, , BEST, 0, 237N, 823W, 50, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 50, 0, 50, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070606, , BEST, 0, 237N, 823W, 50, 1007, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070612, , BEST, 0, 244N, 827W, 55, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 50, 0, 50, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 30, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070612, , BEST, 0, 244N, 827W, 55, 1003, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 90, 15, 60, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 30, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070618, , BEST, 0, 254N, 830W, 60, 998, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 80, 0, 60, 1013, 80, 20, 75, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 30, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070618, , BEST, 0, 254N, 830W, 60, 998, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 40, 0, 20, 1013, 80, 20, 75, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 30, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070700, , BEST, 0, 267N, 832W, 65, 996, HU, 34, NEQ, 70, 80, 0, 60, 1013, 80, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 90, 0, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070700, , BEST, 0, 267N, 832W, 65, 996, HU, 50, NEQ, 30, 40, 0, 20, 1013, 80, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 90, 0, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070700, , BEST, 0, 267N, 832W, 65, 996, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1013, 80, 20, 80, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 90, 90, 0, 90, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070706, , BEST, 0, 278N, 835W, 55, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 80, 0, 60, 1013, 90, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070706, , BEST, 0, 278N, 835W, 55, 1004, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1013, 90, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 60, 60, 30, 60, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070712, , BEST, 0, 292N, 836W, 55, 999, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 80, 0, 50, 1014, 100, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070712, , BEST, 0, 292N, 836W, 55, 999, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1014, 100, 20, 65, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070718, , BEST, 0, 303N, 835W, 45, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 0, 30, 1014, 100, 20, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 30, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070800, , BEST, 0, 315N, 827W, 40, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 100, 0, 0, 1013, 100, 75, 50, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070806, , BEST, 0, 328N, 818W, 40, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 100, 0, 0, 1014, 120, 80, 50, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070812, , BEST, 0, 342N, 805W, 40, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 100, 0, 0, 1014, 120, 80, 50, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070818, , BEST, 0, 355N, 790W, 45, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 140, 0, 0, 1014, 120, 80, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070900, , BEST, 0, 368N, 774W, 45, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 140, 0, 0, 1013, 120, 90, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 150, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070906, , BEST, 0, 384N, 755W, 45, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 140, 0, 0, 1013, 120, 60, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 180, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070912, , BEST, 0, 403N, 731W, 45, 1000, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 150, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 60, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 210, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
AL, 05, 2021070918, , BEST, 0, 420N, 710W, 45, 999, EX, 34, NEQ, 70, 120, 0, 0, 1010, 140, 60, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ELSA, D, 12, NEQ, 0, 240, 0, 0, genesis-num, 010,
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#4642 Postby Shell Mound » Tue Aug 24, 2021 6:31 am

I just noticed something: the NHC upgraded Elsa to a hurricane near Barbados, based on sustained winds of 64 kt at the airport, yet a closer look reveals that the airport was sited at ~52 m above MSL. Conversion to 10-m winds would yield MSW below hurricane force. On the other hand, the airport was just outside the strongest convection in the inner core. Nevertheless, the nearby Civil Aviation and Barbados Meteorological Service is sited at an even higher elevation of > 60 m, per Google Earth. Obviously, reconnaissance indicated that Elsa was a hurricane farther west, but maybe Elsa was not a hurricane while passing Barbados. On the other hand, is the 10-m standard relative to MSL or the Earth's surface? Thoughts?
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#4643 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Apr 25, 2022 9:32 pm

I just had to revisit and re-read this thread for fun, especially after hearing how Barbados's meteorological agency has requested Elsa's retirement
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