ATL: 93L - Models

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Cat5James
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#21 Postby Cat5James » Sat Aug 07, 2021 5:30 pm

tolakram wrote:It still has an area of vorticity moving toward and recurving just before Florida, after passing over the islands. This west first is what I'm looking for, but I have no idea if this is far enough west or not.

that isnt 93L... that is the most western disturbance
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Stormybajan
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#22 Postby Stormybajan » Sat Aug 07, 2021 5:47 pm

Cat5James wrote:
tolakram wrote:It still has an area of vorticity moving toward and recurving just before Florida, after passing over the islands. This west first is what I'm looking for, but I have no idea if this is far enough west or not.

that isnt 93L... that is the most western disturbance

Yeah 18z gfs totally kills 93L quickly...such a big jump from the 12z lmao its a wait and see game with all of these systems, in a day and a half we will have a better understanding of whats REALLY going to happen with the western wave, 93L and 92L
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#23 Postby Woofde » Sat Aug 07, 2021 7:58 pm

I really want to see what the Hurricane models think of this. The globals have been switching back and forth so much.

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aspen
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#24 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 07, 2021 8:13 pm

Woofde wrote:I really want to see what the Hurricane models think of this. The globals have been switching back and forth so much.

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12z HWRF-P for 92L switched focus on to 93L and had it become a moderate to strong TS. However, the 18z decided to focus on Brazil for some reason, so you can’t see what it does with 93L.

I hope 93L’s HWRF runs come a lot quicker than those for 92L.
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#25 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Aug 08, 2021 12:11 am

HMON and HWRF running. So far HMON shows nothing by hour 60.
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#26 Postby aspen » Sun Aug 08, 2021 7:14 am

0z HWRF developed this, 06z HWRF looks to have dropped this. Can’t wait to see a major in the 12z run followed by an open wave at 18z and absolutely zero consistency for the next few days.
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Re: ATL: 93L - Models

#27 Postby Spacecoast » Sun Aug 08, 2021 10:47 am

0z ECMF ensembles for 93L:
Not much to speak of...
Image
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