SIO: PADDY - Post-Tropical

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Subtrop
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SIO: PADDY - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby Subtrop » Fri Nov 19, 2021 7:21 am

90S INVEST 211119 0600 10.0S 103.0E SHEM 15 1010
Last edited by Subtrop on Sun Nov 21, 2021 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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WAcyclone
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90S

#2 Postby WAcyclone » Sun Nov 21, 2021 9:40 pm

This one looks like a tropical cyclone to me...

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Re: SIO: INVEST 90S

#3 Postby Chris90 » Sun Nov 21, 2021 9:50 pm

I just checked in on this for the first time today and was coming to mention this. It looks like it may already be building an eyewall. It’s probably a strong tropical storm of at least 50kts.
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Re: SIO: PADDY - Tropical Storm

#4 Postby Subtrop » Sun Nov 21, 2021 11:22 pm

IDW23100

40:2:2:24:13S108E400:11:00
SECURITE

OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
at 0405 UTC 22 NOVEMBER 2021

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0300 UTC Tropical Cyclone Paddy was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude thirteen decimal one south (13.1S)
longitude one hundred and eight decimal zero east (108.0E)
Recent movement : south southeast at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 997 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 45 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre increasing to 45 knots by 0300 UTC 23
November.

Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 45 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.

Forecast positions
At 1500 UTC 22 November: Within 65 nautical miles of 13.5 south 108.0 east
Central pressure 996 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0300 UTC 23 November: Within 85 nautical miles of 13.7 south 107.6 east
Central pressure 993 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 22 November 2021.

AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90S

#5 Postby WAcyclone » Sun Nov 21, 2021 11:27 pm

Great to see BoM reacting rather quickly in this case. Even though they gave it basically no chance of development just a few hours ago, they have now named it TC Paddy.

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Re: SIO: PADDY - Tropical Storm

#6 Postby WAcyclone » Sun Nov 21, 2021 11:29 pm

I guess this ASCAT pass may have been the trigger...

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