EPAC: DARBY - Remnants

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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#121 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:52 am

I think this peaks at 140 mph. It is very unlikely to reach cat 5 without another round of intensification. Storm is stabilizing and won’t intensify much further IMO. Reminds me of Felicia.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#122 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:57 am

This is what Papín said at the top of discussion.

What a difference 24 hours makes!
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#123 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:59 am

I love it when professionals let their excitement peep out. Deep down inside, they still have that giddy love for storms like we do here at storm2k.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#124 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:00 am

Impressive little system. Good to see a system overachieve in the EPAC again.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#125 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:02 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:I think this peaks at 140 mph. It is very unlikely to reach cat 5 without another round of intensification. Storm is stabilizing and won’t intensify much further IMO. Reminds me of Felicia.


DMax probably gives it another shot overnight but thermodynamics and the tropopause likely will keep Darby in check.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#126 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:10 am

I think 120-125kts might be do-able ceiling if she can sustain it. To get higher than that she would have to be well south of forecast.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#127 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:12 am

Getting some 2021 Felicia vibes with this one.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#128 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:25 am

Image
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#129 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:28 am

 https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/1546513845086298113




Edit: this is Daniel 06 which Darby might rival soon anyway so tweet is still relevant.


Edit2:

 https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/1546570810810417160


Last edited by Yellow Evan on Mon Jul 11, 2022 2:16 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#130 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:32 am

Image
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#131 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:47 am

 https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1546515714789363712


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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#132 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:48 am



Do you have the list of the seven?
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#133 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:50 am

Image

Borderline T6.5 but cloud tops warming on the west.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#134 Postby skyline385 » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:55 am

Yellow Evan wrote:Image

That’s one perfect microwave imagery, could be used as a template for annular canes
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#135 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:58 am

 https://twitter.com/michaeligbino10/status/1546519430628364289


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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#136 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:00 am

 https://twitter.com/dcareawx/status/1546511932785573889


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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#137 Postby skyline385 » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:25 am


Maybe now people will stop saying that this a typical EPAC season, this ACE doesn’t even account for the system coming behind it and models are already hinting at another one behind that too.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#138 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:26 am

Image

This is basically on the same tier as past upper elechon annular EPAC hurricanes.
Last edited by Yellow Evan on Mon Jul 11, 2022 12:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#139 Postby skyline385 » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:28 am

Yellow Evan wrote: https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/1546513845086298113




Edit: this is Daniel 06 which Darby might rival soon anyway so tweet is still relevant.

Webb is having some fun with this

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1546524680714010625


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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane

#140 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:29 am

cycloneye wrote:This is what Papín said at the top of discussion.

What a difference 24 hours makes!

When I randomly clicked on the discussion not following Darby's progress, when I first read that line I knew it was Papin.

That SSMIS pass is top-tier, Daniel '06 was larger if I'm not mistaken?
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