ATL: KARL - Post Tropical - Discussion

[NotSparta]

Looks like it just got named Karl. lol

It's still Invest 93L until the NHC puts out Advisory #1 for either TD 14 or TS Karl.

ATCF has it as Karl, so it's basically certain an advisory is coming

[wxman57]

Latest reports from the plane are less convincing that we have a TS in the BoC. Squalls may be producing TS winds to the north, but the well-defined LLC is questionable.

[wxman57]

Looks like it just got named Karl. lol

It's still Invest 93L until the NHC puts out Advisory #1 for either TD 14 or TS Karl.

ATCF has it as Karl, so it's basically certain an advisory is coming

What is the URL to that file?

[WiscoWx02]

Latest reports from the plane are less convincing that we have a TS in the BoC. Squalls may be producing TS winds to the north, but the well-defined LLC is questionable.

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

[Aric Dunn]

Latest reports from the plane are less convincing that we have a TS in the BoC. Squalls may be producing TS winds to the north, but the well-defined LLC is questionable.

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

[tropicwatch]

Latest reports from the plane are less convincing that we have a TS in the BoC. Squalls may be producing TS winds to the north, but the well-defined LLC is questionable.

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

I guess we have to wait and see if the NHC says it to make it official

[zzzh]

It's still Invest 93L until the NHC puts out Advisory #1 for either TD 14 or TS Karl.

ATCF has it as Karl, so it's basically certain an advisory is coming

What is the URL to that file?

FNMOC
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bin/tc_home.cgi

[tolakram]

Latest reports from the plane are less convincing that we have a TS in the BoC. Squalls may be producing TS winds to the north, but the well-defined LLC is questionable.

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

[Aric Dunn]

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bin/tc_home.cgi

[tolakram]

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 99W.INVEST,

That has been wrong twice this year so far, I assume it's automated.

[tropicwatch]

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 99W.INVEST,

I like the Navy but they don't get a say in this

[cycloneye]

Folks, let's wait for the official word from NHC, and no other place.

[wxman57]

ATCF has it as Karl, so it's basically certain an advisory is coming

What is the URL to that file?

FNMOC
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bin/tc_home.cgi

Oh, that place. I've seen them jump the gun on systems before.

[WiscoWx02]

That honestly doesn't look like enough to be classified IMO, not defined enough, doubt they pull the trigger on it yet if at all.

it is more than enough and it is KArl.

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

I guess my question is what exactly is "good enough" for them? What do they consider as low level center? Because I can recall systems more organized than this on recon that they didn't pull the trigger on.

[tolakram]

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 99W.INVEST,

I like the Navy but they don't get a say in this

But they have that awesome model that Tropical Tidbits turned off during Ian because it was wasting processing power.

[Buck]

Would NHC have posted that they will initiate advisories on either PTC/Karl if they were going to at 5 PM? Or is there still a chance we might see an advisory at 5 PM without that?

[NotSparta]

RAMMB also has TS Karl and it's consistently foretold systems starting to get advisories

[zzzh]

The Navy (FNMOC/NRL) is an official source. No doubts on that.

[zzzh]

Where are you seeing the official name change? You sound pretty argumentative, people have different opinions and that's ok.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 99W.INVEST,

That has been wrong twice this year so far, I assume it's automated.

They are wrong on what?
Their source is ATCF, which is directly controlled by NHC/JTWC

[Aric Dunn]

Towers firing on the NE side of the recent LLC. recon wind field looking better now. consolidation is underway. vort/edy to the SE has died.