ATL: NICOLE - Models

[gatorcane]

18Z ICON slight south shift and 1MB stronger out through 18 hours so far

39 hours:

[Stormlover1970]

18Z NAM shifts south a bit, landfall WPB:

https://i.postimg.cc/CMCsFPQ9/nam-mslp-pcpn-watl-19.png

the nam is spam

[jlauderdal]

18Z NAM shifts south a bit, landfall WPB:

https://i.postimg.cc/CMCsFPQ9/nam-mslp-pcpn-watl-19.png

That is concerning for the residents of Boca.

[cane5]

I wonder how models take into account gradient features both in wind strength and direction. Must add something different into the mix not always dealt ?

[BobHarlem]

18z Icon, stronger with landfall in Palm Bay.

[cane5]

18z Icon, stronger with landfall in Palm Bay.
https://i.imgur.com/kblJxmW.png

Well see if ICON can pull off two in a row it definitely is predicting a more northern landfall than the Euro or Gfs.

[AutoPenalti]

18z Icon, stronger with landfall in Palm Bay.
https://i.imgur.com/kblJxmW.png

Well see if ICON can pull off two in a row it definitely is predicting a more northern landfall than the Euro or Gfs.

It actually shifted South.

[cane5]

18z Icon, stronger with landfall in Palm Bay.
https://i.imgur.com/kblJxmW.png

Well see if ICON can pull off two in a row it definitely is predicting a more northern landfall than the Euro or Gfs.

It actually shifted South.

Not by too much interesting to see the next run…

[gatorcane]

The GFS shifted south by a little now just south of WPB at landfall in Palm Beach County. Maybe over SFLcane’s house. Looks like Lake Worth or Boynton Beach.

[Blown Away]

The GFS shifted south by a little now just south of WPB at landfall in Palm Beach County. Maybe over SFLcane’s house. Looks like Lake Worth or Boynton Beach.

https://i.postimg.cc/0NLvkdNH/gfs-mslp-wind-seus-fh0-60.gif

That's a big shift in close range and stronger!

[jlauderdal]

The GFS shifted south by a little now just south of WPB at landfall in Palm Beach County. Maybe over SFLcane’s house. Looks like Lake Worth or Boynton Beach.

https://i.postimg.cc/0NLvkdNH/gfs-mslp-wind-seus-fh0-60.gif

That's a big shift in close range and stronger!

You getting ready for an eyewall?

[N2FSU]

18z GFS with a shift west on landfall in the Gulf



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SFLcane]

The GFS shifted south by a little now just south of WPB at landfall in Palm Beach County. Maybe over SFLcane’s house. Looks like Lake Worth or Boynton Beach.

https://i.postimg.cc/0NLvkdNH/gfs-mslp-wind-seus-fh0-60.gif

[sponger]

Well at least Navgem still shows a recurve. Something to build on while the rest of the models want to pummel Florida!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0706&fh=63

[Blown Away]

18z GFS with a shift west on landfall in the Gulfhttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20221107/46441c99fff8d6d8cbcf2c9c58e6866a.jpeg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20221107/428a26f9f44a006ead2041cbae51c956.jpeg

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Hurricanes are mad at FSU and coming your way!

[Gums]

Salute!

I feel SFL will do just fine....an accomplished storm vet and more prepared than 99% of the U.S. population for a storm.

Biggie where SFL lives is height above sea level and prep fpr power loss. Looks like most of that neighborhood is over 20 feet above sea level, and no big waves crashing on the house that is 100 feet from the beach!

One more time... get those poptarts and beer early!

Gums sends...

[Blown Away]

18z NAM... Just because...

[AtlanticWind]

Well at least Navgem still shows a recurve. Something to build on while the rest of the models want to pummel Florida!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0706&fh=63

Thats the 6z , the 12z joins other models with Florida landfall

[sponger]

Well at least Navgem still shows a recurve. Something to build on while the rest of the models want to pummel Florida!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0706&fh=63

Thats the 6z , the 12z joins other models with Florida landfall

Well so much for that! I think the risks for a Cat 2 landfall are going up. I would be preparing as such from North Dade to the Cape.

[sponger]

https://i.imgur.com/0tYc6Lo.gif
18z NAM... Just because...

That is insane! Imagine if that verified! One thing is for sure, that is one seriously strong high for November! Truly a crazy year or two for weather!