kevin wrote:Recon fixes from the last few flights for reference. Over the last 5 hours Ian has deepened at an average rate of almost 2 mb/hr. Even if Ian just stays on its current intensification rate and doesn't RI even faster this could be enough to get it down to 940 mb before its Cuba landfall.
Sep 26
10:11z = 978.7 mb
07:18z = 983.6 mb
05:22z = 987.9 mb
00:53z = 988.5 mb
Sep 25
22:32z = 989.0 mb
10:45z = 999.4 mb
VDM has 983 mb with 6 kts wind, so it might not actually be at 978.7 yet. I recall that the NOAA planes have a low bias for pressure.
Strangely I don't see a center drop, but 3 SE eyewall drops.