ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Iceresistance]

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/96576301.gif

[Frank P]

Looking at radar, IR and vis sat images looks like the center could be west of the Isle of Pine if it continues on a NNW motion, although the Island could be brushed by the eastern eyewall… tbd

[eastcoastFL]

Kinda crazy how NHC's forecast doesn't even really a show a blip in the intensity from going over western Cuba (or maybe that's the only reason they don't bring it higher than 120kt ). I have to imagine it would at least pause the RI for the duration.

It’s pretty flat. It probably will have little to no effect. It might even continue to strengthen and just expand the wind field a bit from land interaction.

[SconnieCane]

Here we go with the classic dual vortical hot towers, major hurricane eyewall building underway.

[eastcoastFL]

According to HWRF it should really get going in the next 6-12 hours as far as intensifying goes.

[Zonacane]

The east tower is really going to town.

Towers punching like that are the kick-off for Ian becoming a major. Good to have you and Aric back

[wxman57]

18Z TVCN has landfall directly into Clearwater about 3am Thursday.

[skyline385]

Looking good on IR right now




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[Emmett_Brown]

18Z TVCN has landfall directly into Clearwater about 3am Thursday.

A lot of ensemble members of Euro and GFS are W of the TVCN, how do you feel about the TVCN solution at the moment given the west trend on some models (and east trend on others)

[Kazmit]

Banding looks phenomenal right now.

[cheezyWXguy]

18Z TVCN has landfall directly into Clearwater about 3am Thursday.

I don’t know whether to like your post because of the useful information or to avoid liking it because of how concerning that is.

[TheHurricaneGod]

Seems like it made a slight wobble to the WNW vs NNW now

[Category5Kaiju]

Yeah, this is not looking very pleasant now. West Coast of Florida folks, including those in Tampa Bay, get ready (especially those who are not familiar with hurricanes because they're from a different state or country).

[cycloneye]

Not a common place to have landfalls and that is Tampa.

 https://twitter.com/OSUWXGUY/status/1574474836570783753

[jhpigott]

Any thoughts about whether TS Watches/Warnings will eventually be put up for the east coast of Florida?

[ElectricStorm]

09L IAN 220926 1800 19.7N 83.0W ATL 80 976

[Iceresistance]

09L IAN 220926 1800 19.7N 83.0W ATL 80 976

Almost a Cat 2.

[Iceresistance]

Looking at IR, is it just me, or did Ian take a big jog to the west?

[AutoPenalti]

Looking at IR, is it just me, or did Ian take a big jog to the west?

IR will give the illusion that a strengthening system is moving west or east when a blowup of convection is present.

[Ian2401]

Looking at IR, is it just me, or did Ian take a big jog to the west?

if anything it looked to me like it was jogging left for a bit there.

honestly though, youre going to drive yourself mad if you start wobble watching this early