ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Canelaw99]

Hurricane warning for Tampa Bay:

https://i.imgur.com/RcSoaUW.png

Just for completeness let’s get a TS watch from Jupiter inlet to Ocean Reef guys. I think it’s the only part of Florida that doesn’t have one

Lol I’m feeling a little left out down here! There’s a little bit in the panhandle without one too.

[UTSARoadrunner4]

Wow! Cat 2.

100 mph and 972 mb as of 5 PM EDT.

11 more MPH’s until it’s a Major. I’ll be surprised if if Ian is not a major by the 11 PM Advisory. How long until landfall on the Cuban mainland?

[AutoPenalti]

No watches or warnings for Miami-Dade and Broward

[CryHavoc]

Hurricane warning for Tampa Bay:

https://i.imgur.com/RcSoaUW.png

Just for completeness let’s get a TS watch from Jupiter inlet to Ocean Reef guys. I think it’s the only part of Florida that doesn’t have one

Lol I’m feeling a little left out down here! There’s a little bit in the panhandle without one too.

I bet you're gonna get some nasty bands in the near future, at the very least.

[wxman57]

NHC track is precisely on top of mine. They have it at 100 kts west of southern Tampa Bay and 75 kts 12 hrs later when it's west of the northern part of Tampa. Moves very slowly right near the coast. Very bad for Tampa area. Time for a break, been going 13 hrs.

[aspen]

Ian sure looks like it's dealing with double eyewalls. It's especially evident on IR imagery.

[skyline385]

Hurricane warning for Tampa Bay:

https://i.imgur.com/RcSoaUW.png

Just for completeness let’s get a TS watch from Jupiter inlet to Ocean Reef guys. I think it’s the only part of Florida that doesn’t have one

Lol I’m feeling a little left out down here! There’s a little bit in the panhandle without one too.

Same, here in Jupiter and they cut off the TS warning right at the inlet lol


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[jlauderdal]

No watches or warnings for Miami-Dade and Broward

Flash Flood Watch, we have half an inch and convection moving in from the South

[CryHavoc]

NHC track is precisely on top of mine. They have it at 100 kts west of southern Tampa Bay and 75 kts 12 hrs later when it's west of the northern part of Tampa. Moves very slowly right near the coast. Very bad for Tampa area. Time for a break, been going 13 hrs.

Get some rest. Don't spend your break looking at satellite imagery. There's a loooot of hours between now and when it reaches Tampa.

[dukeblue219]

Ian sure looks like it's dealing with double eyewalls. It's especially evident on IR imagery.

IR is just not a good way to analyze the eyewall unless the eye has completely cleared, which Ian hasn't.

[Sanibel]

ICON shifts east with east side core hit of Sanibel...


UKMET shows direct hard side eyewall hit on Sanibel...

[Iceresistance]

Very intense convection on the southern part of the CoC. Cloud Tops at least -90°C.

[cheezyWXguy]

Ian sure looks like it's dealing with double eyewalls. It's especially evident on IR imagery.
https://i.imgur.com/BLn8Moz.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/ORZbvQ9.jpg

Definitely is, for the moment. I’m guessing that whichever eyewall that massive burst to the south wraps into is the one that’s going to become dominant. Looking at visible, that looks to be the inner to me

[johngaltfla]

NHC track is precisely on top of mine. They have it at 100 kts west of southern Tampa Bay and 75 kts 12 hrs later when it's west of the northern part of Tampa. Moves very slowly right near the coast. Very bad for Tampa area. Time for a break, been going 13 hrs.

Thanks for your hard work. Everyone here appreciates it. Now it' s my turn doing the 15 hour days.

[Bob R]

No watches or warnings for Miami-Dade and Broward

Haven't seen any watches or warnings for Palm Beach County south of Jupiter.

[Jag95]

The CDO has become more symmetrical with the dry slot all but gone judging by the visual. I'm guessing some real intensification is in store now.

[skillz305]

The consensus is ian will cross florida between cape coral and tampa (imo). Kinda crazy to think how we're back in the cone and have a tropical storm watch (vero beach, fl)

[Iceresistance]

Just ignore the flagged 170 knot SMFR from NOAA3 because it flew over Cuba.

[FLpanhandle91]

Air Force and NOAA recon will be in there at the same time. Should get a really good visual of rapid intensification over the next several hours.

[lando]

This interactive storm surge map is insane https://cera.coastalrisk.live/ look how much of 4 counties is destroyed. Insane