ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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GCANE
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2581 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:45 pm

Core rapidly warming up
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2582 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:46 pm

The wind measurement may be instantaneous from this Eastern Eyewall Dropsonde, but it's leading me to suggest that the stronger winds have yet to mix down to the surface.

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https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Eastern-Eyewall-of-Ian.png
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2583 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:47 pm

GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2584 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:48 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The wind measurement may be instantaneous from this Eastern Eyewall Dropsonde, but it's leading me to suggest that the stronger winds have yet to mix down to the surface.

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Eastern-Eyewall-of-Ian.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Eastern-Eyewall-of-Ian.png


That’s my thought as well. Pressure continues to drop. Just a matter of time until the winds catch up.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2585 Postby sponger » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:49 pm

A Charlie track certainly seems plausible. It was a non event here in Saint Augustine while Daytona, 65 miles South had a punch to the gut. Same type of set up. Lets see if it materializes. Model runs today and tonight will be interesting!!!
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2586 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:49 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The wind measurement may be instantaneous from this Eastern Eyewall Dropsonde, but it's leading me to suggest that the stronger winds have yet to mix down to the surface.

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Eastern-Eyewall-of-Ian.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/Eastern-Eyewall-of-Ian.png


Updraft from the tower is likely playing a part in that
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2587 Postby LARanger » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:49 pm

NDG wrote:But cat 2 starts at 96 mph. :wink:


That's knot relevant.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2588 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:49 pm

That outflow is sure something


Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2589 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:49 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.

I think he literally means the storm’s warm core, not the cloud tops
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2590 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:51 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.


Its actually west of that. Its the blue now turning white
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2591 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:52 pm

GCANE wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.


Its actually west of that. Its the blue now turning white

That looks like another dry slot to me
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2592 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:52 pm

Rain across south Florida getting more and more persistent.


Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2593 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:52 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.

I think he literally means the storm’s warm core, not the cloud tops


Correct - thanks
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2594 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:53 pm

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1574544889538576385


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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2595 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:54 pm

Hammy wrote:Recon still doesn't support Cat 2 intensity.


but satellite representation sure does! I've seen cat 3s look worse on satellite than Ian
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2596 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:55 pm

LARanger wrote:
NDG wrote:But cat 2 starts at 96 mph. :wink:


That's knot relevant.


95 knots at flight level is not enough for a Cat 2 once is reduced for surface wind estimates, which equal around 90-95 mph at the surface.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2597 Postby Sailingtime » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:56 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Rain across south Florida getting more and more persistent.


https://apps.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/noaaport/radar_flanim.gif
Last edited by Sailingtime on Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2598 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:56 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2599 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:56 pm

4 towers in each quad... next phase of RI appears to be underway.. eye much less ragged.

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2600 Postby CryHavoc » Mon Sep 26, 2022 6:56 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
GCANE wrote:Core rapidly warming up


Just technical FYI - "cooling" is the word you're looking for, as the darker reds represent colder cloud tops.


Temperature of the eye also has a direct correlation to storm strength. Warmer eye = stronger TC.
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