ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3301 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:35 am

Made an IAN thread for local reports, evac news (and help), etc,

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=123066&p=2998932#p2998875
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3302 Postby underthwx » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:36 am

Iceresistance wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:I am going to take a moment and pray for the safety and well being of everyone in the path of this storm and especially those that post regularly that are facing a very scary unknown. It's something I can do to let people know I am thinking of them in my prayers.

Prayer will do nothing, only action will save people.


For those who can't come to help, all you can do is pray. That is what James Spann said during the April 27th, 2011 Super Outbreak.

(Sorry for being OT Mods and Admins :oops: )


Well said Ice, there's always time enough to pray, while taking action, with all due respects to everyone...
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ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3303 Postby skyline385 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:39 am

Not sure if anyone noticed but Ian is also doing the thing a lot of high end storms do, the CDO is becoming kinda detached from the primary band and spinning much faster


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Last edited by skyline385 on Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3304 Postby Rail Dawg » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:39 am

tolakram wrote:Made an IAN thread for local reports, evac news (and help), etc,

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=123066&p=2998932#p2998875


tolakram year after year you are right on top of things.

Thanks for all you have done to keep storm2k at the forefront!

Chuck
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3305 Postby LadyBug72 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:40 am

ScottNAtlanta wrote:I am going to take a moment and pray for the safety and well being of everyone in the path of this storm and especially those that post regularly that are facing a very scary unknown. It's something I can do to let people know I am thinking of them in my prayers.



I will join you! Stay safe Florida friends!
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3306 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:41 am

Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/FpFLnvY.gif
Impressive Major Hurricane!


That’s the best Ian has looked so far!
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3307 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:42 am

skyline385 wrote:Not sure if anyone noticed but Ian is also doing the thing a lot of high end storms do, the CDO is becoming kinda detached from the primary band and spinning much faster


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I would not have noticed that, but since you pointed it out...it is doing that. I am looking at the 200 frame hi-rez satellite and it is pretty evident...wow. Also can see some small mezovorticies in the eye.
Last edited by ScottNAtlanta on Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3308 Postby skyline385 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:42 am

Key west already feeling the effect of the surge

 https://twitter.com/birdingpeepwx/status/1574795563714977793





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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3309 Postby underthwx » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:42 am

NHC 12 pm update on Ian, has the cyclone moving Northward at 10 mph. Has the forward motion of Ian slowed down just a bit, or remained the same, since the previous update at 8 am?
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3310 Postby TallahasseeMan » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:43 am

Ian structure looks much better after land interaction with Cuba than it did on approach.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3311 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:45 am

skyline385 wrote:Key west already feeling the effect of the surge

https://twitter.com/birdingpeepwx/status/1574795563714977793?s=46&t=SnElvKkhLlr96gtytjAQiw


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I just looked at a live cam of the "southernmost point" marker and there are a bunch of..."not the brightest turnips in the bunch" there snapping selfies as waves crash over them.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3312 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:46 am

TallahasseeMan wrote:Ian structure looks much better after land interaction with Cuba than it did on approach.

Honestly it was only a matter of time, after recon showed a more symmetrical wind field last night. Seeing that is like getting the last duck in a row before RI commences.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3313 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:49 am

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3314 Postby CourierPR » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:49 am

underthwx wrote:NHC 12 pm update on Ian, has the cyclone moving Northward at 10 mph. Has the forward motion of Ian slowed down just a bit, or remained the same, since the previous update at 8 am?


NHC also said 5 degrees which is not due north but slightly east of north.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3315 Postby Gums » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:49 am

Salute!

I support the "Dawg" in good words for Mark. Despite many extraneous posts, the forums are moderated well, and most have refrained from political crapola and personal attacks on other members.

For those not familiar with Dawg.....he was not a storm chaser that likes to get great videos and such. He was a "have chain saw, will travel" responder and helper. Somehow, the dude managed to find a sheltered parking place to ride our the worst of the storm and rarely got to the impact zone two days after it hit.

Gums sends...

P.S. back on topic, this is a serious storm, but impact 75 or 100 miles further north would have been much worse WRT the surge. Most houses here in Florida from Pensacola to Key West can handle very strong wind. So as we "vets" will tetify, it's the surge causing most damage and then the loss of power and water for some perios of time that is the worse.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3316 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:50 am

My goodness, that is a nasty buzzsaw. :eek:

Image
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/39253547.gif
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3317 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:50 am

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3318 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:51 am

aspen wrote:

I hate to say it, but this reminds me of Dorian. The incredible eyewall lightning, the incredibly clear eye, the impressive microwave presentation…this is turning into an absolute monster.



I agree. This cyclone could strengthen to 125-130 knots over the next 18-24 hours.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3319 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:51 am

CourierPR wrote:
underthwx wrote:NHC 12 pm update on Ian, has the cyclone moving Northward at 10 mph. Has the forward motion of Ian slowed down just a bit, or remained the same, since the previous update at 8 am?


NHC also said 5 degrees which is not due north but slightly east of north.


I noticed that too and that movement sounds correct.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3320 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:52 am

i may have missed it but there is a chance this storm tracks straight up thru the everglades at this point, can we see a Katrina style situation where it hardly weakens as it crosses the state?
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