ATL: ALEX - Post-Tropical

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Sanibel
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ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#361 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:40 pm

Steady flooding rain Sanibel...
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#362 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:44 pm

SFLcane wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:Power outage at my place, 20 mph winds did it, heavy rain


Good luck with that there’s absolutely no pressure Gradient. Thus far these wannabe rain bands are meh with mostly light to moderate rain. I am not sure those rainfall totals might come to pass. Well see.

It’s June
Power back on but to be clear, this was more about poor grid infrastructure than wind and rain. Most of the day has been light to moderate, underachieving on the rain totals. 2.5 since midnite.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#363 Postby Stormlover1970 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:44 pm

Typical east weighted June rain event system
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#364 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:51 pm

Too weak to classify from SSD dvorak:

A. 01L (NONAME)

B. 03/2331Z

C. 22.1N

D. 85.8W

E. FIVE/GOES-E

F. TOO WEAK

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY DUE TO LACK OF
CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS
REGENERATION OCCURS.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...NGUYEN


https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/bulletins.html
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#365 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:03 pm

This one is an absolute mess. Reminds me somewhat of Colin in 2016.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#366 Postby aspen » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:10 pm

All of its convection is being blown away. I can’t see how PTC-1 will survive the night if this continues.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#367 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:27 pm

Good riddance. Rain is fine, the Everglades can use it. We don't need the storm surge, wind damage risk, etc. It can form into something after it leaves our state and becomes a fish.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#368 Postby ObsessedMiami » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:52 pm

Pounding rain here in Kendall but not a breath of wind. Complete calm
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#369 Postby eastcoastFL » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:58 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Blown Away wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:Power outage at my place, 20 mph winds did it, heavy rain


So annoying, sorry… I’m prepared for gusts up to 28 mph!

If you have FPL, 28 will do it for sure. I was ready for it, not my first tropical system as you know. I heard the transformer blow down the street.


I feel like when the first decent gust comes they just shut it off.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#370 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:17 pm

I honestly was debating with myself on rather I should post the Famous DR.McCoy picture with this loop or not. I choose not to as it still has chance once in the Atlantic.
Image
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#371 Postby floridasun » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:17 pm

here by mia airport now raining heavy it litght most afternoon
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#372 Postby Hammy » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:21 pm

aspen wrote:All of its convection is being blown away. I can’t see how PTC-1 will survive the night if this continues.


Models have been pretty consistent in not really spinning this up until after passing Florida.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#373 Postby KirbyDude25 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:23 pm

Looking at the recon flight's measurements, it seems as if there are 4 competing centers of circulation, with the most visible one being around 25.3N, 84.6W. This thing is an absolute mess.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#374 Postby Category6 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:45 pm

All is pretty quiet so far here in Central Broward (about 7 miles west of downtown FTL). A steady rain all day, sometimes heavy, but more often than not pretty light. One brief wind gust earlier this afternoon, but other than that, hardly a breeze. Maybe 1.5 to 2 inches of rain so far. A lot of the strongest bands have stayed offshore. I don’t see how we get the 8+ inches of rain that was being forecasted.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#375 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:49 pm

This thing is looking awful and almost certainly won't get a name before it gets to FL. Should still be on track to become Alex once it crosses FL but it's going to have a ton of work to do to get there.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#376 Postby HurricaneBelle » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:03 pm

from potential tropical cyclone to wasted potential tropical cyclone
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#377 Postby TallyTracker » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:05 pm

Land might help this mess. Some of the competing center could dissipate allowing it to consolidate east of Florida. Certainly can’t hurt it!
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#378 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:07 pm

Its appearance tonight would have to improve to look like crap. Most of the heavy squalls have already moved east of Florida. I still think it'll be Alex after passing Florida. Obs suggest winds are closer to 15 or 20 kts vs. 35 kts. Good, I can take tomorrow off.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#379 Postby NDG » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:14 pm

Not a drop of rain today at my house out of this, just gave us a nice sunset on one side and a rainbow on the other side.

Image
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone

#380 Postby KirbyDude25 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:15 pm

wxman57 wrote:Its appearance tonight would have to improve to look like crap. Most of the heavy squalls have already moved east of Florida. I still think it'll be Alex after passing Florida. Obs suggest winds are closer to 15 or 20 kts vs. 35 kts. Good, I can take tomorrow off.

Well, looks like recon's found some flight-level winds of 35 knots or so, which would suggest 25-30kt surface winds (though the SFMR isn't even 15 knots most of the time). It still looks like absolute poop though, I'm pretty sure recon's found 5 centers at this point
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