ATL: ALEX - Post-Tropical
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Power back on but to be clear, this was more about poor grid infrastructure than wind and rain. Most of the day has been light to moderate, underachieving on the rain totals. 2.5 since midnite.SFLcane wrote:jlauderdal wrote:Power outage at my place, 20 mph winds did it, heavy rain
Good luck with that there’s absolutely no pressure Gradient. Thus far these wannabe rain bands are meh with mostly light to moderate rain. I am not sure those rainfall totals might come to pass. Well see.
It’s June
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Too weak to classify from SSD dvorak:
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/bulletins.html
A. 01L (NONAME)
B. 03/2331Z
C. 22.1N
D. 85.8W
E. FIVE/GOES-E
F. TOO WEAK
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY DUE TO LACK OF
CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS
REGENERATION OCCURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...NGUYEN
B. 03/2331Z
C. 22.1N
D. 85.8W
E. FIVE/GOES-E
F. TOO WEAK
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY DUE TO LACK OF
CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS
REGENERATION OCCURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...NGUYEN
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/bulletins.html
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
This one is an absolute mess. Reminds me somewhat of Colin in 2016.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
All of its convection is being blown away. I can’t see how PTC-1 will survive the night if this continues.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- johngaltfla
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Good riddance. Rain is fine, the Everglades can use it. We don't need the storm surge, wind damage risk, etc. It can form into something after it leaves our state and becomes a fish.
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- ObsessedMiami
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Pounding rain here in Kendall but not a breath of wind. Complete calm
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- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
jlauderdal wrote:Blown Away wrote:jlauderdal wrote:Power outage at my place, 20 mph winds did it, heavy rain
So annoying, sorry… I’m prepared for gusts up to 28 mph!
If you have FPL, 28 will do it for sure. I was ready for it, not my first tropical system as you know. I heard the transformer blow down the street.
I feel like when the first decent gust comes they just shut it off.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
I honestly was debating with myself on rather I should post the Famous DR.McCoy picture with this loop or not. I choose not to as it still has chance once in the Atlantic.
![Image](https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/307/39cyT9.gif)
![Image](https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/307/39cyT9.gif)
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
here by mia airport now raining heavy it litght most afternoon
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
aspen wrote:All of its convection is being blown away. I can’t see how PTC-1 will survive the night if this continues.
Models have been pretty consistent in not really spinning this up until after passing Florida.
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- KirbyDude25
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Looking at the recon flight's measurements, it seems as if there are 4 competing centers of circulation, with the most visible one being around 25.3N, 84.6W. This thing is an absolute mess.
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New Jersey, Rutgers '27
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
All is pretty quiet so far here in Central Broward (about 7 miles west of downtown FTL). A steady rain all day, sometimes heavy, but more often than not pretty light. One brief wind gust earlier this afternoon, but other than that, hardly a breeze. Maybe 1.5 to 2 inches of rain so far. A lot of the strongest bands have stayed offshore. I don’t see how we get the 8+ inches of rain that was being forecasted.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
This thing is looking awful and almost certainly won't get a name before it gets to FL. Should still be on track to become Alex once it crosses FL but it's going to have a ton of work to do to get there.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
from potential tropical cyclone to wasted potential tropical cyclone
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Land might help this mess. Some of the competing center could dissipate allowing it to consolidate east of Florida. Certainly can’t hurt it!
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Its appearance tonight would have to improve to look like crap. Most of the heavy squalls have already moved east of Florida. I still think it'll be Alex after passing Florida. Obs suggest winds are closer to 15 or 20 kts vs. 35 kts. Good, I can take tomorrow off.
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
Not a drop of rain today at my house out of this, just gave us a nice sunset on one side and a rainbow on the other side.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/Im2pxq3.jpg)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/Im2pxq3.jpg)
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- KirbyDude25
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Re: ATL: ONE- Potential Tropical Cyclone
wxman57 wrote:Its appearance tonight would have to improve to look like crap. Most of the heavy squalls have already moved east of Florida. I still think it'll be Alex after passing Florida. Obs suggest winds are closer to 15 or 20 kts vs. 35 kts. Good, I can take tomorrow off.
Well, looks like recon's found some flight-level winds of 35 knots or so, which would suggest 25-30kt surface winds (though the SFMR isn't even 15 knots most of the time). It still looks like absolute poop though, I'm pretty sure recon's found 5 centers at this point
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