ATL: ALEX - Post-Tropical

[KirbyDude25]

Its appearance tonight would have to improve to look like crap. Most of the heavy squalls have already moved east of Florida. I still think it'll be Alex after passing Florida. Obs suggest winds are closer to 15 or 20 kts vs. 35 kts. Good, I can take tomorrow off.

Well, looks like recon's found some flight-level winds of 35 knots or so, which would suggest 25-30kt surface winds (though the SFMR isn't even 15 knots most of the time). It still looks like absolute poop though, I'm pretty sure recon's found 5 centers at this point

[beachnut]

Squalls of pounding rain for hours, guessing 5+ inches today, with some gusts. More continual rain than I've seen here for a while. Rainy season starting now too, think it's going to be a wet summer.

[Nuno]

When was the last time SFL had a first week of June cyclone?

[MarioProtVI]

When was the last time SFL had a first week of June cyclone?

2007 with Barry.

[Nuno]

Heaviest rain of the night coming down Coral Gables and South Miami. This would be miserable to be outside in driving.

[zzh]

[chaser1]

That last post before mine pretty much says all there needs to say...... next.

[floridasun]

look like shear and dryair kill it and look all rain now getting pull off coast line

[Nuno]

I dont know about you party poopers but the multiple vortices from CAGs are more interesting to me when compared to the dry air issues that plague MDR storms. Lot more opportunities to look at the structure on radar and its just cozy tropical moisture that signals summer. You'll be missing these gulf stops come late July

[Jr0d]

They can probably drop the TS warnings in my amateur opinion. The only area still seeing breezy conditions are the Florida Keys and currently those are well short of tropical.storm force.

Key West had close to storm conditions with max sustain winds of 30mph and a gust to 48mph yesterday evening. Sand key lighthouse, 8 miles offshore saw max sustained winds of 37mph and gusts to 57mph.

I suppose the TS warning served a purpose for the lower Keys. Tough call as this had some potential yesterday to consolidate.

Ive seen it a few times where a disorganized system can somewhat consolidate as it moves over Florida...though I dont expect it to until its well past Florida.

[AtlanticWind]

This is some of the heaviest prolonged rain I have seen in while
I am thinking we must have had 5 inches or more since midnight
here in Plantation.

[ThomasW]

Wouldn't be awfully surprised if this never really gets going and becomes a TC. Very broad and gyrical structure with multiple centers would suggest slow organization regardless of environment, but with the dry surrounds and high wind shear, this may never be able to truly consolidate into a tropical cyclone. Don't forget that this weaker and less organized trend in the short term will lead to less baroclinic help later on, which was (is?) one of the few things which could allow for organization into a tropical cyclone. By no means certain it gets there but probably still a better chance that it does than it doesn't.

[jlauderdal]

This is some of the heaviest prolonged rain I have seen in while
I am thinking we must have had 5 inches or more since midnight
here in Plantation.

My gauge is at 4.53 since midnite and pouring, 2.99 yesterday so we are going over 8 storm total. The storm delivered on the rainfall front.

[AdamFirst]

Multiple videos on social media of stranded cars and flooded streets in downtown Miami, with still more heavy rain on the way.

This is what the storm was always going to be about. The "slop" so heavily discounted by posters on this forum has real world impacts.

 https://twitter.com/MFR_PIO/status/1532977245656174593

[ObsessedMiami]

Multiple videos on social media of stranded cars and flooded streets in downtown Miami, with still more heavy rain on the way.

This is what the storm was always going to be about. The "slop" so heavily discounted by posters on this forum has real world impacts.

https://twitter.com/MFR_PIO/status/1532977245656174593?t=jyGX6PXoDojynBapUPVG2Q&s=19

Going to be interesting come first light to see some of these places that flood normally in heavy thunderstorms.

[jlauderdal]

Multiple videos on social media of stranded cars and flooded streets in downtown Miami, with still more heavy rain on the way.

This is what the storm was always going to be about. The "slop" so heavily discounted by posters on this forum has real world impacts.

https://twitter.com/MFR_PIO/status/1532977245656174593?t=jyGX6PXoDojynBapUPVG2Q&s=19

There is water going into buildings in Miami, not surprising considering the intensity of this latest band. Looks like we get a break and one more band in a couple of waters, this water isn't receding too much due to the saturated ground, the effects would have been far less if this happened a week ago.

[GCANE]

SPC has a marginal tornado threat along the east coast

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1027.html

[jlauderdal]

SPC has a marginal tornado threat along the east coast

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1027.html

Interesting setup developing the next few hours, let's see if it can deliver, I am at 5.58 since midnite, 8.5 storm total, they are over 10 in Miami.

https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwat ... 95&yr=2022

[tolakram]

Apparently this area is still the 'center' of One.



Rain and flooding is almost always the issue with these early season storms, even if they aren't named.

[Canelaw99]

This is some of the heaviest prolonged rain I have seen in while
I am thinking we must have had 5 inches or more since midnight
here in Plantation.

My gauge is at 4.53 since midnite and pouring, 2.99 yesterday so we are going over 8 storm total. The storm delivered on the rainfall front.

Not sure how much we’ve officially received in Homestead, but it was a light, steady rain all day yesterday. The rain got heavier in the evening and it has just rained all night long. We have some minor street flooding in the neighborhood, though we get that with the heavy summer thunderstorms too. I definitely feel this mess delivered on what was predicted — lots of rain.