ConvergenceZone wrote:Hurrilurker wrote:I definitely didn't expect borderline Cat 5 before landfall, but at the same time I never bought some of the the predictions that it was going to go from Cat 3 (ish) to severely sheared low end Cat 1 in the last 24 hours before landfall either.
I didn't either! I think this is the last time I ever pay attention to model forecasted intensity. I mean, I know they usually aren't that accurate, but even yesterday most models weren't predicting a almost Cat 5 cane....
We could tell most models were understated by the pressure at initialization. If NHC doesn’t officially put it to Cat 5 prior to landfall it’ll likely get upgraded after damage assessment. In any case, what’s the difference between 155 and 157? Both are devastating.