ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion

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Subtrop
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ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1 Postby Subtrop » Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:25 am

AL, 92, 2022060312, , BEST, 0, 309N, 688W, 20, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 006, SPAWNINVEST, al762022 to al922022,


https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:01 am

Nice circulation but has a small window to develop.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#3 Postby KirbyDude25 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:09 am

cycloneye wrote:Nice circulation but has a small window to develop.

https://i.imgur.com/PIztHLo.gif

Imagine this stole the name Alex from PTC 1 like what happened to Beta (twice) in 2020
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#4 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:17 am

This looks like a depression. better defined LLC then 91L has and stacked with its convection.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 10:59 am

The race is on between PTC One and 92L to be Alex.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1532752977429024768


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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#6 Postby Hurricane2021 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 11:46 am

Looks like that 92L is almost a TD now. Looking much better than "Subtropical Storm" Teresa in Sept 2021.
Last edited by Hurricane2021 on Fri Jun 03, 2022 11:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#7 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 11:47 am

Close-up view shows the almost exposed LLC as strong shear blows there.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#8 Postby Teban54 » Fri Jun 03, 2022 12:23 pm

This looks better than Peter did as a 45-kt TS.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#9 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 12:50 pm

In the Western Atlantic west-southwest of Bermuda:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
associated with the small but well-defined area of low pressure
about 200 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. This system has a brief
window for further development today before strong upper-level winds
result in increasingly unfavorable conditions by the weekend. This
system is expected to move generally eastward passing southward of
Bermuda this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#10 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 03, 2022 3:13 pm

Refiring convection near core
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#11 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:35 pm

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