WPAC: CHABA - Post-Tropical
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- doomhaMwx
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Severe Tropical Storm
Getting better organized right before landfall. Frictional convergence probably aiding here as well.
https://twitter.com/squirtleinhk/status/1543009392534102017
https://twitter.com/squirtleinhk/status/1543009392534102017
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Severe Tropical Storm
JTWC has Chaba as a typhoon since 18Z. Likely an upgrade from JMA at 00Z as they analyzed DT4.5 MET4.5 PT4.5 FT4.5 CI4.5.
CMA upgrades at 00Z as well.
CMA upgrades at 00Z as well.
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 020000
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY CHABA 2203 (2203) INITIAL TIME 020000 UTC
00HR 20.5N 111.5E 965HPA 33M/S
30KTS WINDS 350KM NORTHEAST
350KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
100KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 15KM/H=
NNNN
WTPQ20 BABJ 020000
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY CHABA 2203 (2203) INITIAL TIME 020000 UTC
00HR 20.5N 111.5E 965HPA 33M/S
30KTS WINDS 350KM NORTHEAST
350KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
100KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 15KM/H=
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
T2203(Chaba)
Issued at 2022/07/02 01:10 UTC
Analisys at 07/02 00 UTC
Category TY
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center Position N20°35′(20.6°)
E111°40′(111.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
50-kt wind area WIDE130km(70NM)
30-kt wind area SE650km(350NM)
NW330km(180NM)
Issued at 2022/07/02 01:10 UTC
Analisys at 07/02 00 UTC
Category TY
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center Position N20°35′(20.6°)
E111°40′(111.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
50-kt wind area WIDE130km(70NM)
30-kt wind area SE650km(350NM)
NW330km(180NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
It can be seen that the typhoon has been recently tracking way east of the CMA's previous forecast track. Landfall is looking more likely to occur east of the Leizhou Peninsula.
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
Typhoon Chaba on Fengyun-4B 1-minute rapid scan (geostationary high-speed imager).
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
ASCAT nicely captures the wind field of Typhoon Chaba prior to landfall.
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
04W CHABA 220702 0600 21.2N 111.2E WPAC 70 969
T2203(Chaba)
Issued at 2022/07/02 04:10 UTC
Analisys at 07/02 03 UTC
Category TY
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center Position N20°50′(20.8°)
E111°25′(111.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
50-kt wind area WIDE130km(70NM)
30-kt wind area SE650km(350NM)
NW330km(180NM)
Issued at 2022/07/02 04:10 UTC
Analisys at 07/02 03 UTC
Category TY
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center Position N20°50′(20.8°)
E111°25′(111.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
50-kt wind area WIDE130km(70NM)
30-kt wind area SE650km(350NM)
NW330km(180NM)
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 020600 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY CHABA 2203 (2203) INITIAL TIME 020600 UTC
00HR 21.2N 111.2E 965HPA 35M/S
30KTS WINDS 350KM NORTHEAST
350KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
100KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NNW 19KM/H
WTPQ20 BABJ 020600 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY CHABA 2203 (2203) INITIAL TIME 020600 UTC
00HR 21.2N 111.2E 965HPA 35M/S
30KTS WINDS 350KM NORTHEAST
350KM SOUTHEAST
250KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
100KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NNW 19KM/H
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
CMA announced that TY Chaba made landfall over Dianbai District, Maoming City, Guangdong at 3pm local (07Z) with winds of 70kts.
Guangdong CMA radar loop from 5am to 3pm today.
ZCZC
WHCI40 BABJ 020600
TY 2203 (2203) CHABA LANDED ON GUANGDONG DIANBAI
020700GMT (35m/s)
NNNN
WHCI40 BABJ 020600
TY 2203 (2203) CHABA LANDED ON GUANGDONG DIANBAI
020700GMT (35m/s)
NNNN
Guangdong CMA radar loop from 5am to 3pm today.
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
Several tornadoes are being reported in Guangdong from Chaba's rainbands.
https://twitter.com/CyanideCN_/status/1543024010392264704
https://twitter.com/FansOfStorms/status/1543084822502973440
https://twitter.com/Ericwang1101/status/1543191009177112577
https://twitter.com/CyanideCN_/status/1543024010392264704
https://twitter.com/FansOfStorms/status/1543084822502973440
https://twitter.com/Ericwang1101/status/1543191009177112577
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
This storm also apparently capsized a decent sized ship. Turning out to be a more significant storm than expected. I was expecting only an inland rainfall hazard, but apparently New South Wales is going to get that today...
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Severe Tropical Storm
Guangdong CMA radar loop
July 02, 5am to 9pm local time
July 02, 5am to 9pm local time
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Typhoon
shah83 wrote:This storm also apparently capsized a decent sized ship. Turning out to be a more significant storm than expected. I was expecting only an inland rainfall hazard, but apparently New South Wales is going to get that today...
News says only three of the 30 crew members have been rescued so far.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/overseas/07/03 ... ea-typhoon
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Re: WPAC: CHABA - Tropical Depression
zzh wrote:04W CHABA 220704 0000 26.2N 111.6E WPAC 20 -54372408
Ah of course your average physics-breaking storm lol
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