EPAC: Ex INVEST 94E

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#21 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Jun 29, 2022 10:14 pm

TXPZ24 KNES 300016
TCSENP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (94E)

B. 29/2330Z

C. 12.5N

D. 110.2W

E. FIVE/GOES-W

F. T1.5/1.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...3/10 BANDING RESULTS IN DT OF 1.5. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER
24 HOUR TREND GIVES MET OF 1.5. PT AGREES. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...BROWN
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#22 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:07 am

TXPZ24 KNES 301203
TCSENP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (94E)

B. 30/1130Z

C. 14.3N

D. 113.8W

E. THREE/GOES-W

F. T2.5/2.5

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...4/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. THE MET IS 2.0 BASED
ON A SLOW DEVELOPMENT TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 2.5. FT
IS BASED ON PT DUE TO BANDING FEATURES THAT ARE NOT CLEAR CUT AND SINCE
A PATTERN ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...COVERDALE
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#23 Postby aspen » Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:28 pm

Really looks like a TC now. I’m surprised it didn’t get upgraded at the 5pm advisory.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#24 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:33 pm

Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#25 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 30, 2022 5:04 pm

aspen wrote:Really looks like a TC now. I’m surprised it didn’t get upgraded at the 5pm advisory.



Image

Here’s your answer.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#26 Postby aspen » Thu Jun 30, 2022 5:13 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
aspen wrote:Really looks like a TC now. I’m surprised it didn’t get upgraded at the 5pm advisory.



https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/716216123485585469/992145624659148911/20220630_17_21_flag.png

Here’s your answer.

Best-looking trough I’ve ever seen lol
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#27 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:21 pm

Image

Image

This has the satellite presentation of a deepening tropical storm but it’s LLC struggles are something you’d expect in the Eastern Caribbean.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:57 pm

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula is producing winds of gale-force. Although the shower
and thunderstorm activity associated with the system continues to
show signs of organization, this afternoon's satellite-derived wind
data indicated that the system still lacks a well-defined
circulation. Environmental conditions are generally conducive for
development and a tropical depression could still form during the
next day or two before it reaches cooler waters Saturday while
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#29 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 30, 2022 8:24 pm

TXPZ24 KNES 010008
TCSENP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (94E)

B. 30/2330Z

C. 14.1N

D. 116.4W

E. THREE/GOES-W

F. T1.5/2.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...SHEAR PATTERN WITH LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LESS THAN
75 NM FROM SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.0. MET = 1.0 AND PT =
1.5. FT IS BASED ON PT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...KIBLER


SAB worst Dvorak fix in months.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#30 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jun 30, 2022 9:16 pm

Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#31 Postby KirbyDude25 » Thu Jun 30, 2022 9:55 pm


That looks like it might be enough of a rotation to classify. If not, it's definitely close.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#32 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Jul 01, 2022 1:50 pm

Image

Classifiable.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#33 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jul 01, 2022 2:25 pm

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#34 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jul 01, 2022 9:37 pm

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