EPAC: DARBY - Remnants

[Yellow Evan]

[cycloneye]

EP, 05, 2022071018, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1184W, 55, 999, TS

[Yellow Evan]

TXPZ26 KNES 101812
TCSENP

A. 05E (DARBY)

B. 10/1730Z

C. 14.5N

D. 118.4W

E. THREE/GOES-W

F. T3.0/3.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS

H. REMARKS...1423Z SSMIS SHOWED AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE AT 89GHZ. 9/10
BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. MET IS 3.0 AND PT IS 3.0. FT IS BASED
ON MET BECAUSE THE CLOUD FEATURES ARE NOT CLEAR CUT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

10/1423Z 14.2N 117.8W SSMIS


...GATLING

[Yellow Evan]

EP, 05, 202207101800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1460N, 11850W, , 2, 55, 2, 994, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , E, TAFB, CL, VI, 3, 3535 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, Position uncertain. 8/10th banding from visible imagery

[Yellow Evan]

* GFS version *
* EAST PACIFIC 2021 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* DARBY EP052022 07/10/22 18 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
V (KT) NO LAND 55 61 66 69 73 78 78 75 67 57 49 41 33 29 23 22 21
V (KT) LAND 55 61 66 69 73 78 78 75 67 57 49 41 33 29 23 22 21
V (KT) LGEM 55 61 65 67 69 70 69 64 55 45 36 28 22 18 N/A N/A N/A
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP N/A N/A

SHEAR (KT) 3 3 6 8 8 9 7 7 11 14 21 22 20 15 29 N/A N/A
SHEAR ADJ (KT) 4 2 0 0 0 -1 1 1 3 4 2 6 2 6 -1 N/A N/A
SHEAR DIR 343 324 3 19 21 1 338 322 272 235 231 221 248 278 304 N/A N/A
SST (C) 27.8 27.8 27.6 27.9 27.7 27.5 26.8 25.3 24.6 24.6 24.7 24.6 24.2 24.8 24.9 N/A N/A
POT. INT. (KT) 144 144 141 144 142 140 132 117 110 110 110 110 106 112 113 N/A N/A
200 MB T (C) -53.6 -53.5 -53.8 -53.9 -53.8 -53.8 -54.2 -53.9 -54.0 -53.6 -53.9 -54.2 -54.6 -54.9 -54.6 N/A N/A
200 MB VXT (C) -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 -0.4 N/A N/A
TH_E DEV (C) 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 N/A N/A
700-500 MB RH 73 73 70 72 72 72 70 66 65 62 59 55 49 44 36 N/A N/A
MODEL VTX (KT) 13 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 16 14 13 12 9 8 5 LOST LOST
850 MB ENV VOR 1 6 8 6 6 4 -1 -1 -14 -12 -19 -13 -17 -11 -24 N/A N/A
200 MB DIV 33 48 46 32 28 51 44 47 32 28 0 -8 -16 -18 -7 N/A N/A
700-850 TADV 5 5 7 6 5 1 3 3 7 15 11 8 9 9 13 N/A N/A
LAND (KM) 1294 1392 1476 1562 1654 1828 1977 2129 2279 2021 1769 1510 1245 955 666 N/A N/A
LAT (DEG N) 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.4 14.7 15.2 15.6 16.4 17.1 17.7 18.2 18.4 xx.x xx.x N/A N/A
LONG(DEG W) 118.4 119.8 121.2 122.4 123.6 126.1 128.5 130.9 133.4 135.8 138.1 140.5 143.0 xxx.x xxx.x N/A N/A
STM SPEED (KT) 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 14 13 N/A N/A
HEAT CONTENT 18 20 11 12 11 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A N/A

FORECAST TRACK FROM OFCI INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):270/ 14 CX,CY: -13/ 0
T-12 MAX WIND: 40 PRESSURE OF STEERING LEVEL (MB): 507 (MEAN=587)
GOES IR BRIGHTNESS TEMP. STD DEV. 50-200 KM RAD: 13.0 (MEAN=14.5)
% GOES IR PIXELS WITH T < -20 C 50-200 KM RAD: 90.0 (MEAN=65.0)
PRELIM RI PROB (DV .GE. 35 KT IN 36 HR): 33.3

INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO INTENSITY CHANGE
6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAMPLE MEAN CHANGE 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 1. 1. 0. -0. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -4.
SST POTENTIAL 1. 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. 5. 4. 3. 2. 0. -2. -4. -6. -7. -9.
VERTICAL SHEAR MAG 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 5. 4. 2. 1. 0. -2. -2. -2.
VERTICAL SHEAR ADJ -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1.
VERTICAL SHEAR DIR -0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. -0. -2. -3. -4. -4. -5. -4. -4. -4. -3.
PERSISTENCE 3. 5. 5. 5. 4. 3. 2. 2. 1. 2. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
200/250 MB TEMP. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -2. -3.
THETA_E EXCESS -0. -1. -1. -1. -3. -4. -5. -7. -8. -9. -9. -10. -10. -10. -11. -13.
700-500 MB RH 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 0. 0. 0. 1.
MODEL VTX TENDENCY 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 5. 2. 0. -1. -4. -5. -7. -7. -6.
850 MB ENV VORTICITY -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
200 MB DIVERGENCE 0. 0. 0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -0. 0. 1.
850-700 T ADVEC -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3.
ZONAL STORM MOTION 0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 3. 3. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1. 1. -0.
STEERING LEVEL PRES -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -2. -1. -1. -1. -0.
DAYS FROM CLIM. PEAK -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -2. -2. -2. -2. -3. -3. -4.
GOES PREDICTORS 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1.
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -0. -0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 4. 5.
RI POTENTIAL 1. 2. 3. 5. 8. 7. 4. 1. -1. -2. -3. -4. -4. -3. -3. -3.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL CHANGE 6. 11. 14. 18. 23. 23. 20. 12. 2. -6. -14. -22. -26. -32. -33. -34.

CURRENT MAX WIND (KT): 55. LAT, LON: 14.4 118.4

** 2021 E. Pacific RI INDEX EP052022 DARBY 07/10/22 18 UTC **
(SHIPS-RII PREDICTOR TABLE for 30 KT OR MORE MAXIMUM WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24-h)

Predictor Value RI Predictor Range Scaled Value(0-1) % Contribution
POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 87.8 40.5 to 149.3 0.43 5.0
12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT) : 15.0 -22.0 to 44.0 0.56 7.4
D200 (10**7s-1) : 37.4 -33.0 to 159.5 0.37 3.9
850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 5.8 19.6 to 1.3 0.75 7.7
MAXIMUM WIND (KT) : 55.0 22.5 to 132.0 0.92 7.4
STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 13.0 37.8 to 2.1 0.69 5.0
BL DRY-AIR FLUX (W/M2) : 201.4 800.8 to -82.5 0.68 -5.5
HEAT CONTENT (KJ/CM2) : 14.4 2.7 to 106.7 0.11 0.7
%area of TPW <45 mm upshear : 0.0 56.6 to 0.0 1.00 2.3
2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP : -0.0 2.2 to -2.3 0.50 0.6

SHIPS Prob RI for 20kt/ 12hr RI threshold= 25% is 4.0 times climatological mean ( 6.3%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 25kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 42% is 3.4 times climatological mean (12.5%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 30kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 35% is 4.0 times climatological mean ( 8.6%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 35kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 25% is 4.0 times climatological mean ( 6.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 40kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 16% is 3.9 times climatological mean ( 4.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 45kt/ 36hr RI threshold= 25% is 3.7 times climatological mean ( 6.7%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 55kt/ 48hr RI threshold= 16% is 2.7 times climatological mean ( 5.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 65kt/ 72hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 4.7%)

Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) | 20/12 | 25/24 | 30/24 | 35/24 | 40/24 | 45/36 | 55/48 |65/72
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHIPS-RII: 25.4% 42.0% 34.5% 25.0% 16.4% 24.8% 15.8% 0.0%
Logistic: 14.0% 24.0% 16.1% 9.9% 2.6% 4.1% 1.4% 1.6%
Bayesian: 2.7% 3.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Consensus: 14.0% 23.3% 17.2% 11.8% 6.4% 9.7% 5.8% 0.5%
DTOPS: 26.0% 35.0% 26.0% 20.0% 13.0% 16.0% 6.0% 0.0%

## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) EP052022 DARBY 07/10/22 18 UTC ##
## STORM NOT ANNULAR, SCREENING STEP FAILED, NPASS=4 NFAIL=3 ##
## AHI= 0 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##

[Sciencerocks]

[Yellow Evan]

Might be a hurricane right now.

[Yellow Evan]

This is the shear Papin is talking about. Notice the northeasterly flow at mid-levels.

[Yellow Evan]

TXPZ26 KNES 110017
TCSENP

A. 05E (DARBY)

B. 10/2330Z

C. 14.8N

D. 119.8W

E. THREE/GOES-W

F. T3.5/3.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2

H. REMARKS...1.0 CURVED BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET IS 3.5
BASED ON A NORMAL DEVELOPING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 3.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO BANDING
FEATURES NOT BEING CLEAR CUT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

10/2145Z 14.7N 119.3W AMSR2


...HOSLEY

[cycloneye]

EP, 05, 2022071100, , BEST, 0, 146N, 1199W, 60, 995, TS

[Yellow Evan]

* GFS version *
* EAST PACIFIC 2021 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* DARBY EP052022 07/11/22 00 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
V (KT) NO LAND 60 65 69 74 77 80 77 73 64 53 44 37 30 26 20 18 17
V (KT) LAND 60 65 69 74 77 80 77 73 64 53 44 37 30 26 20 18 17
V (KT) LGEM 60 64 67 69 71 71 68 61 51 41 32 25 20 16 N/A N/A N/A
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP N/A N/A

SHEAR (KT) 1 5 5 4 3 6 5 8 11 18 25 25 16 16 30 N/A N/A
SHEAR ADJ (KT) 3 0 0 0 -1 2 1 2 8 3 2 1 3 9 -1 N/A N/A
SHEAR DIR 349 33 39 85 10 344 322 293 239 239 227 241 275 288 312 N/A N/A
SST (C) 27.7 27.6 27.9 27.6 27.4 27.2 26.0 24.7 24.5 24.8 24.5 24.1 24.7 24.7 25.2 N/A N/A
POT. INT. (KT) 143 141 144 141 139 137 125 111 108 112 109 105 110 110 115 N/A N/A
200 MB T (C) -53.5 -53.7 -53.8 -53.7 -53.4 -54.1 -53.8 -54.0 -53.7 -53.7 -54.2 -54.7 -54.8 -54.6 -54.7 N/A N/A
200 MB VXT (C) -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 -0.4 -0.5 N/A N/A
TH_E DEV (C) 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 4 5 N/A N/A
700-500 MB RH 72 70 70 71 70 69 66 63 60 56 52 47 43 39 34 N/A N/A
MODEL VTX (KT) 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 16 14 12 11 11 9 7 5 LOST LOST
850 MB ENV VOR 6 9 5 6 9 -1 0 0 -14 -13 -6 -8 -10 -22 -29 N/A N/A
200 MB DIV 44 30 27 29 37 39 45 43 22 11 -6 -20 -25 -36 -24 N/A N/A
700-850 TADV 7 7 7 5 1 1 1 2 9 8 7 12 12 6 16 N/A N/A
LAND (KM) 1385 1467 1557 1645 1739 1922 2089 2255 2113 1846 1539 1253 1003 764 532 N/A N/A
LAT (DEG N) 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.8 15.0 15.3 16.0 16.7 17.5 18.3 18.6 18.5 xx.x xx.x N/A N/A
LONG(DEG W) 119.9 121.2 122.5 123.8 125.1 127.5 130.1 132.8 135.0 137.4 140.2 142.9 145.3 xxx.x xxx.x N/A N/A
STM SPEED (KT) 14 13 13 13 12 12 13 12 12 13 13 12 11 10 10 N/A N/A
HEAT CONTENT 19 11 12 11 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A N/A

FORECAST TRACK FROM OFCI INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):275/ 15 CX,CY: -14/ 1
T-12 MAX WIND: 50 PRESSURE OF STEERING LEVEL (MB): 458 (MEAN=587)
GOES IR BRIGHTNESS TEMP. STD DEV. 50-200 KM RAD: 8.8 (MEAN=14.5)
% GOES IR PIXELS WITH T < -20 C 50-200 KM RAD: 94.0 (MEAN=65.0)
PRELIM RI PROB (DV .GE. 35 KT IN 36 HR): 29.2

INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO INTENSITY CHANGE
6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAMPLE MEAN CHANGE 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 1. 1. 0. -0. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -4.
SST POTENTIAL 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 3. 1. -1. -2. -4. -6. -8. -10. -12. -14. -15.
VERTICAL SHEAR MAG 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 7. 7. 7. 4. 2. 1. 0. -2. -2. -2.
VERTICAL SHEAR ADJ -0. -0. -0. 0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1.
VERTICAL SHEAR DIR 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. -0. -2. -3. -4. -4. -4. -4. -4. -3. -3.
PERSISTENCE 2. 3. 3. 3. 2. 2. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 0. 1. 1. 1.
200/250 MB TEMP. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. -0. -1. -2. -3. -3.
THETA_E EXCESS -0. -1. -1. -1. -3. -4. -6. -7. -8. -9. -9. -9. -9. -9. -11. -12.
700-500 MB RH 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1.
MODEL VTX TENDENCY -0. -0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 3. 2. -2. -4. -3. -6. -7. -8. -8. -7.
850 MB ENV VORTICITY -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
200 MB DIVERGENCE -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -2. -1. -0. 0. 1.
850-700 T ADVEC -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3.
ZONAL STORM MOTION 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. 3. 3. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1. -0.
STEERING LEVEL PRES -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -2. -2. -2. -2. -3. -3. -3. -2. -2. -2. -1.
DAYS FROM CLIM. PEAK -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -2. -2. -2. -3. -3. -4.
GOES PREDICTORS 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1.
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -0. -0. 0. 1. 2. 2. 4. 5.
RI POTENTIAL 1. 2. 3. 4. 6. 5. 3. 1. -1. -2. -2. -3. -3. -3. -2. -2.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL CHANGE 5. 9. 14. 17. 20. 17. 13. 4. -7. -16. -23. -30. -34. -40. -42. -43.

CURRENT MAX WIND (KT): 60. LAT, LON: 14.6 119.9

** 2021 E. Pacific RI INDEX EP052022 DARBY 07/11/22 00 UTC **
(SHIPS-RII PREDICTOR TABLE for 30 KT OR MORE MAXIMUM WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24-h)

Predictor Value RI Predictor Range Scaled Value(0-1) % Contribution
POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 81.6 40.5 to 149.3 0.38 5.1
12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT) : 10.0 -22.0 to 44.0 0.48 7.5
D200 (10**7s-1) : 33.4 -33.0 to 159.5 0.34 4.3
850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 3.4 19.6 to 1.3 0.88 10.7
MAXIMUM WIND (KT) : 60.0 22.5 to 132.0 0.97 9.2
STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 8.8 37.8 to 2.1 0.81 6.9
BL DRY-AIR FLUX (W/M2) : 240.0 800.8 to -82.5 0.63 -6.0
HEAT CONTENT (KJ/CM2) : 11.6 2.7 to 106.7 0.09 0.6
%area of TPW <45 mm upshear : 0.0 56.6 to 0.0 1.00 2.7
2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP : -0.1 2.2 to -2.3 0.50 0.8

SHIPS Prob RI for 20kt/ 12hr RI threshold= 28% is 4.4 times climatological mean ( 6.3%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 25kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 47% is 3.8 times climatological mean (12.5%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 30kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 42% is 4.8 times climatological mean ( 8.6%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 35kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 32% is 5.1 times climatological mean ( 6.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 40kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 25% is 6.0 times climatological mean ( 4.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 45kt/ 36hr RI threshold= 24% is 3.6 times climatological mean ( 6.7%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 55kt/ 48hr RI threshold= 16% is 2.6 times climatological mean ( 5.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 65kt/ 72hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 4.7%)

Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) | 20/12 | 25/24 | 30/24 | 35/24 | 40/24 | 45/36 | 55/48 |65/72
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHIPS-RII: 27.8% 47.1% 41.6% 31.7% 25.4% 24.1% 15.6% 0.0%
Logistic: 21.7% 32.4% 26.4% 15.6% 5.8% 4.4% 0.5% 0.5%
Bayesian: 2.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Consensus: 17.5% 27.9% 23.1% 16.0% 10.5% 9.6% 5.4% 0.2%
DTOPS: 23.0% 44.0% 33.0% 21.0% 20.0% 18.0% 4.0% 0.0%

## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) EP052022 DARBY 07/11/22 00 UTC ##
## STORM NOT ANNULAR, SCREENING STEP FAILED, NPASS=4 NFAIL=3 ##
## AHI= 0 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##

[Yellow Evan]

Small core but no closed eyewall.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

The fourth hurricane of 2022.

Darby has continued to strengthen since the last advisory. Deep
convection near and over its center has been persistent during the
past several hours, and a series of passive microwave images
revealed a well-defined inner core structure has developed
underneath Darby's small central dense overcast. Although the
subjective Dvorak classifications at 00 UTC were a consensus T3.5/55
kt, the objective ADT and SATCON estimates have recently climbed as
high as 72 kt based on the improved microwave structure of the
storm. Based on these trends, the initial intensity is set at 65 kt
for this advisory, which makes Darby the fourth eastern North
Pacific hurricane this season.

[Yellow Evan]

This is about to bomb out.

[Yellow Evan]

Eye now clearing. If it persists this will be a major hurricane in a short order.

[ElectricStorm]

Definitely an eye trying to pop out there

[Hurricane Mike]

Impressive inner core on Darby.

[Yellow Evan]

TXPZ26 KNES 110550
TCSENP

A. 05E (DARBY)

B. 11/0530Z

C. 14.5N

D. 121.2W

E. ONE/GOES-W

F. T4.5/4.5

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED WITHIN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 4.5 AFTER 0.5 WAS SUBTRACTED FOR AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET=4.0 AND
PT=4.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...KIM

[ElectricStorm]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 11 JUL 2022 Time : 085031 UTC
Lat : 14:30:00 N Lon : 122:02:24 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.0 / 971mb / 90kts


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.0 5.0 5.8