EP, 05, 2022071318, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1360W, 95, 971, HU
EPAC: DARBY - Remnants
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
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wxman57
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Looks more like 100+ kts now. Should be reaching a more inhospitable environment soon, though.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
95 knots seems like an underestimation.
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skyline385
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
InfernoFlameCat wrote:95 knots seems like an underestimation.
The NHC has been pretty conservative with re-intensifying EPac storms. First they only gave Celia a 5kt upgrade when it was almost certainly a 65-70 kt hurricane, now a likely 105-110 kt Darby is only 95 kt. There’s a chance they’ll go 5kt higher once the advisory comes out, though.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Once again, it is absolutely gorgeous. Looks nearly identical on visible now when compared to Monday.
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hurricanes1234
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Beautiful storm. Visually, there's also the added benefit of this (re)strengthening taking place near midday yet again.
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
The initial intensity is set at a possibly
conservative 95 kt.
conservative 95 kt.
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
cycloneye wrote:The initial intensity is set at a possibly
conservative 95 kt.
Way too conservative. It’s like they’re afraid of adjusting a storm’s intensity by more than 10 kt when it is expected to weaken and dissipate within a few days, maybe due to causing confusion. More work for post-season I guess.
I don’t think they were this conservative in prior years. I remember when Norman ‘18 was a weakening Cat 1 but then exploded back into a Cat 3.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Sciencerocks
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
I’m shocked that Beven of all people accounted for TAFB’s erroneous 5.0 fix.
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Yellow Evan
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Yellow Evan
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Yes, professionalism. Was Felicia even smaller than Darby?
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ElectricStorm
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Yeah 95kts there seemed pretty low, hopefully they get that sorted out in the final TCR. Beautiful storm though
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Yellow Evan
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weeniepatrol
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Isn't that banding an argument against annular classification? OTOH its remarkable resilience over increasingly marginal SSTs gives credence
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: DARBY - Hurricane
Again a major cane.
EP, 05, 2022071400, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1375W, 100, 968, HU
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