ATL: Ex INVEST 98L - Discussion

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#121 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 14, 2022 11:50 am

Like I said if only 12-24 more hours over water. Look at that presentation.. :eek: sweet
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#122 Postby Craters » Sun Aug 14, 2022 11:50 am

Hey, Soupbone -- did any of those outer rain bands make their way up to you yet?? We got at least a little wet here in Brazoria County, and it looks like there's still a little bit more on the way before 98L moves out.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#123 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Aug 14, 2022 11:57 am

Craters wrote:Hey, Soupbone -- did any of those outer rain bands make their way up to you yet?? We got at least a little wet here in Brazoria County, and it looks like there's still a little bit more on the way before 98L moves out.

I'm not soupbone, but sun is shining bright in Spring Branch area in W. Houston. :sun: :roll: What's rain?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#124 Postby lrak » Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:03 pm

Steve wrote:
lrak wrote:So thankful for the rain...Yes!

We've only had a 1/10 th so far here in CCTX, but a lot of potential remains, keeping fingers crossed. 8-)


Happier now?


Very happy :D Now we just need another invest to do the same northeast of here. Maybe this will move a little more north than west and helpl out SA area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#125 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:27 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Craters wrote:Hey, Soupbone -- did any of those outer rain bands make their way up to you yet?? We got at least a little wet here in Brazoria County, and it looks like there's still a little bit more on the way before 98L moves out.

I'm not soupbone, but sun is shining bright in Spring Branch area in W. Houston. :sun: :roll: What's rain?


Might get a sprinkle up in W Houston. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#126 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:52 pm

Best looking system of the season so far, and is over land :eek:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#127 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:57 pm

I am genuinely curious if the NHC will classify this in the off season.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#128 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 14, 2022 1:22 pm

Kingarabian wrote:I am genuinely curious if the NHC will classify this in the off season.


Corpus recorded a surface pressure of 1009.4 mb's recently but that was after landfall.
There is a forecast wave with a 1010 mb dip passing over Barbados late next week.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#129 Postby Steve » Sun Aug 14, 2022 2:10 pm

NDG wrote:Best looking system of the season so far, and is over land :eek:

https://i.imgur.com/glfyHII.gif


Yeah. Seemed like a decent possibility from yesterday and Friday and got pointed out as something to look for. Could bring a lot more localized rain than the models were showing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#130 Postby Hammy » Sun Aug 14, 2022 2:44 pm

Into my unclassified depression/storm archive it goes!

And what is with Texas in particular where storms seem to organize quickly after moving inland? We had a couple back to back storms in June a few years ago, and several in June/July 1998 (and many others over the years) and several tropical storms have made landfall and looked significantly better organized inland vs over water.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#131 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Aug 14, 2022 2:53 pm

Hammy wrote:Into my unclassified depression/storm archive it goes!

And what is with Texas in particular where storms seem to organize quickly after moving inland? We had a couple back to back storms in June a few years ago, and several in June/July 1998 (and many others over the years) and several tropical storms have made landfall and looked significantly better organized inland vs over water.

Port Aransas reported gale-force wind gusts near the CoC.

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1558843250332512257


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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#132 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun Aug 14, 2022 3:34 pm

I believe this was probably a td... ;) We'll see about post seasons but I don't know if the nhc upgrades invest to depression post season.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#133 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 14, 2022 4:02 pm

Its landfalling behavior is very similar to previous TC's. Just depends if the NHC has the criteria available to do a post season analysis. Either way the risk of this system was the same whether it was classified a TC or not.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#134 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 14, 2022 4:36 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Its landfalling behavior is very similar to previous TC's. Just depends if the NHC has the criteria available to do a post season analysis. Either way the risk of this system was the same whether it was classified a TC or not.


They put up watches and warning boxes for the thunderstorms and squall winds.
A C130 uses about 300 LBS of fuel an hour to fly over a storm and set dropsondes.
Besides that its Sunday, the cows in Texas are happy and we need the resources for September analysis.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#135 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 14, 2022 7:52 pm

Saved visible loop


Saved IR loop
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 98L - Discussion

#136 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 15, 2022 6:39 am

Lots of Flooding rainfall in Southern Texas right now.
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 98L - Discussion

#137 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Aug 15, 2022 7:08 am

System is still presentable 23-24 hours after landfall.
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 98L - Discussion

#138 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Aug 15, 2022 10:08 am

Iceresistance wrote:Lots of Flooding rainfall in Southern Texas right now.


Too bad it's not further north/updip in the Hill Country. We are bone dry.

The shear associated w/ the death ridge is very evident even on radar. Of course, this is the one storm where the north/east side aren't favored :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

#139 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Aug 15, 2022 10:51 am

Hammy wrote:
And what is with Texas in particular where storms seem to organize quickly after moving inland? We had a couple back to back storms in June a few years ago, and several in June/July 1998 (and many others over the years) and several tropical storms have made landfall and looked significantly better organized inland vs over water.


It has something to do with the shape of the western GOM coastline and perhaps the inland topography, westward-moving systems tend to wrap up into nice-looking compact round presentational right as they reach the coastline. You'd expect dry air from the Sierra Oriental and from central Texas to contribute more interference yet it doesn't seem to happen that way. I'd love to see research on the subject.
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 98L - Discussion

#140 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 17, 2022 7:46 pm

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