ATL: EARL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#881 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:39 am

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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#882 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Sep 09, 2022 2:40 pm

06L EARL 220909 1800 34.9N 59.8W ATL 90 954
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#883 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Sep 09, 2022 2:55 pm

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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#884 Postby Emmett_Brown » Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:22 pm

Current sat pic reminds me of Wilma when it moved across the FL peninsula. I eye is large, but more symmetrical than earlier. Now that Earl is accelerating in forward speed, I wonder if his winds might be approaching major status on the right side (due to adding speed of forward motion to winds?)
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#885 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:17 pm

Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#886 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:21 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.


00z Best Track mantains it at 90kts.

AL, 06, 2022091000, , BEST, 0, 371N, 568W, 90, 954, HU


https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal062022.dat
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#887 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:28 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.


I saw that, he's the best that he has ever looked!
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#888 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:04 pm

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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#889 Postby storminabox » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:29 pm

Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#890 Postby weeniepatrol » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:34 pm

skyline385 wrote:Earl is done, not going to another peak from this

https://i.imgur.com/9r8ZGQJ.png


Earl did in fact peak from this
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#891 Postby Hammy » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:41 pm

storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts


Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#892 Postby FireRat » Sat Sep 10, 2022 12:54 am

Hammy wrote:
storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts


Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts


Heck if Lorenzo '19 could be a Cat 5, Earl could easily be a 3
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#893 Postby Hammy » Sat Sep 10, 2022 1:57 am

FireRat wrote:
Hammy wrote:
storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts


Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts


Heck if Lorenzo '19 could be a Cat 5, Earl could easily be a 3


Earl had an actual history of running below satellite estimates.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#894 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Sep 10, 2022 7:01 am

I've actually found that there was a similarly named storm (Also Earl) in 1986 that only peaked as a 105 mph CAT 2 and a pressure of 979 MB in the same general location, except that this Earl formed much closer to the Leeward Islands further south, much closer to Bermuda while missing to the east, had a much lower pressure reading, and did not make a weird loop.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#895 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sat Sep 10, 2022 9:16 am

Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#896 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Sep 10, 2022 9:25 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.


Ever? The largest of the year? More likely. But ever? No, it has to have Gale Force winds at least 1,000 miles across to try to become the largest.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#897 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 10, 2022 9:53 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.

One of the larger TCs, yes, but nowhere near Sandy or Igor. It’s longest wind field axis is currently 680 nm (782 miles) across.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#898 Postby MHC Tracking » Sat Sep 10, 2022 9:58 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.

It will not come close to Sandy.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#899 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Sep 10, 2022 10:51 am

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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#900 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:56 am

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