#120 Postby LarryWx » Sun Aug 28, 2022 5:30 pm
Based on many of the EPS members also slowing down nearby at 240 hours with similar H5 and then mainly recurving safely offshore the US once resuming movement after 240, I feel that the storm would very likely have recurved offshore the US had the 12Z Euro gone past 240 hours. You can also kind of tell by looking over N America at H5/sfc at 240 on the Euro op.
But this is merely speculation on what's already very speculative, the 240 hour position on an operational run. Things will surely change quite a bit over the next few days even though as of this moment staying OTS probably has a slight advantage as of now imho.
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