EPAC: JULIA - Remnants - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/BenCohenTC/status/1578935952411852800

[Landy]

Center is around 12.5N 82.7W per latest advisory.

[Hurricane Mike]

Here's a Julia video update for my fellow night owls:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtASJZK8Ih4

[Cyclenall]

Raw T from ADT is about what you'd expect. Gotta love the tropopause here
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/716215692617187328/1028483811643764767/unknown.png

Haha really trivializes Eta’s raw Ts in the same spot

I don't get why ADT would give that when there isn't an eye .

Julia is a weird one, having some face palms along the way.

[Teban54]

Julia joins the long list of "if only it had 24 more hours over water" storms.

Had it not been moving so fast (though still not as fast as Bonnie), maybe she could have made it.

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1578947269302157313

[Sciencerocks]

[skyline385]

That CDO is absolutely huge, made a little comparison with Eta

[MarioProtVI]

Hurricane Julia Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132022
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 09 2022

...STRENGTHENING JULIA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOON ALONG THE
COAST OF NICARAGUA...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE FROM HEAVY
RAINS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 83.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM W OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND COLOMBIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

She’s definitely getting going. Good thing this didn’t have another day or so or this could’ve been Eta/Iota 2.0 with the conditions it had.

[kevin]

One more day and Julia definitely would've been a MH. Luckily for CA it didn't, even though the current 'weaker' version of Julia can still be very destructive especially due to flooding and rain.

[underthwx]

One more day and Julia definitely would've been a MH. Luckily for CA it didn't, even though the current 'weaker' version of Julia can still be very destructive especially due to flooding and rain.

True that, I wouldn't call it a silver lining, but at least Julia will roll ashore as a weaker system, but as you say Kevin, the flooding potential with the cyclone poses its own hazards for our friends affected by Julia...

[Category5Kaiju]

That CDO is absolutely huge, made a little comparison with Eta

https://i.imgur.com/RmNTgVE.jpg

Eta was quite a small system, and I think that's part of why we saw it intensify so wickedly. Storms that hit Central America tend to be small systems, as we have seen with storms like Otto as well

[aspen]

If I had a nickel for every time this season a storm formed from a low-latitude South America wave and could’ve been a major if it made landfall in CA about 24 hours later, I’d have two nickels, which isn’t a lot but it’s weird that it happened twice.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1579105758222110720

[Iceresistance]

1988 and 1996 featured 2 crossovers, but only one managed to stay intact as a tropical storm, this year could be a first with two systems still maintaining TS force winds into the EPAC

[Teban54]

 https://twitter.com/DOITFORDALE8/status/1579119289520779264

[Sciencerocks]

[Iceresistance]

Crossover is now likely barring an unexpected collapse of Juila's LLC.

[Sciencerocks]

[chaser1]

Julia perhaps gaining ever so slight degree of latitude? It'll cross-over all right but maybe not too far south of the Honduran (Pacific) coastline. She may not have a tremendous amount of time to really reorganize the tightened core just established prior to landfall I've gotta think she'll maintain her T.S. designation given what should at least be minimal T.S. winds in it's southwest quad as result of the popping convection aided by rich moisture fueling inflow