BoB: SITRANG - Post-Tropical

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Subtrop
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BoB: SITRANG - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby Subtrop » Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:03 am

92B INVEST 221017 1200 11.5N 96.1E IO 15 0
Last edited by Subtrop on Sun Oct 23, 2022 10:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: BoB: INVEST 92B

#2 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Oct 17, 2022 3:32 pm

This could be a problem... GFS has this getting to the 940s as it approaches India. Will be one to watch for sure
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Re: BoB: INVEST 92B

#3 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:10 pm

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Re: BoB: Low Pressure Area (INVEST 92B)

#4 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 21, 2022 6:52 am

IMD started advisories as a "Low Pressure Area". Predicted to be a 50kt TC when it reaches Bangladesh. GFS has been terrible with this system. Way too strong and way too far west (into India). Can't trust the GFS beyond 3-4 days.
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Re: BoB: SITRANG - Cyclonic Storm

#5 Postby Subtrop » Sun Oct 23, 2022 10:50 am

The deep depression over westcentral & adjoining eastcentral Bay of Bengal moved nearly
northwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past 6 hours, intensified into a cyclonic storm
“SITRANG” pronounced as “Si-Trang” and lay centered at 1730 hours IST of today, the 23rd
October over the same region near latitude 16.40N and longitude 88.1
0E, about 730 km northwest of
Port Blair, 580 km south of Sagar Island and 740 km south-southwest of Barisal (Bangladesh).
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards, intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm tomorrow.
Continuing to move north-northeastwards thereafter, it is very likely to cross Bangladesh coast
between Tinkona Island and Sandwip, close to Barisal around 25th October early morning.
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Re: BoB: SITRANG - Cyclonic Storm

#6 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Oct 23, 2022 10:13 pm

Sitrang is sheared, so hopefully, storm surge wouldn't be a problem for Bangladesh. The predicted rainfall totals (200-500mm) along its track look concerning though.

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