ATL: LISA - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#181 Postby ChrisH-UK » Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:18 am

LIsa approaching Belize, Belize radar loop. http://nms.gov.bz/sensors/radar-imagery/

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#182 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:51 am

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#183 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:53 am

Video Update as Hurricane Lisa approaches
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dJwG84S3v1w
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#184 Postby aspen » Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:29 am

What an ugly hurricane. Funny how the system with a 919mb GFS run from last week will probably end up weaker than Martin, which had almost no model support until it suddenly started forming mere days ago.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#185 Postby Teban54 » Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:31 am

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#186 Postby Laminar » Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:32 am

aspen wrote:What an ugly hurricane. Funny how the system with a 919mb GFS run from last week will probably end up weaker than Martin, which had almost no model support until it suddenly started forming mere days ago.


I’ll take it. No complaints here.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#187 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 02, 2022 1:41 pm

AF Recon plane shows that Lisa is very close to making landfall over Turneffe Atoll, Belize
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#188 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Nov 02, 2022 2:02 pm

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#189 Postby wxman57 » Wed Nov 02, 2022 2:14 pm

Looks like recon is finding a rising pressure (995mb) and winds in the 60-65 kt range.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#190 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 02, 2022 4:17 pm

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#191 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 02, 2022 4:28 pm

Hurricane Lisa Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022
420 PM CDT Wed Nov 02 2022

...LISA MAKES LANDFALL IN BELIZE...

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that Lisa has made
landfall along the coast of Belize, near the mouth of the Sibun
River, about 10 miles southwest of Belize City around 420 PM CDT
(2120 UTC). The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 85 mph
(140 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 990
mb (29.24 inches).

SUMMARY OF 420 PM CDT...2120 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 88.3W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Brown
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#192 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 02, 2022 4:44 pm

Is amazing what he does, and once again he is in an eye.

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1587920269917581312


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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#193 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Nov 02, 2022 4:57 pm

This could have been a big win for the GFS since it was one of the first models to sniff a hurricane in that region but then completely dropped it shortly before it did develop. Went from a W to a L.

Other models struggled to develop Lisa too. Make that another Atlantic storm they fail to initialize.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#194 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Nov 02, 2022 6:16 pm

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#195 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 02, 2022 7:09 pm

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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#196 Postby Teban54 » Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:04 pm

Lisa may have struggled a bit this morning convection wise which had limited its ceiling, but those convective bursts at and even after landfall are quite ridiculous. If this was over water, it could have been really bad.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#197 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Nov 03, 2022 2:22 am

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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#198 Postby Hammy » Thu Nov 03, 2022 5:41 am

:uarrow: Add Lisa to the long list of "good thing it didn't have 12-24 more hours over water" systems this year
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#199 Postby Gums » Thu Nov 03, 2022 8:58 am

Salute!

Don't let Lisa off easily. She is gonna be better developed after crossing the Yucatan than Opal was when it decided to zoom straight across the Gulf to the Panhandle.

Gums sends...
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#200 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Nov 03, 2022 10:55 am

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