ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7281
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#21 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun Nov 06, 2022 4:26 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:This low pressure probably won’t develop further due to outflow from 98L



I'd watch it as it recurves northeastward as it will be moving away from the outflow of 98L at that point...I agree with the 70% chances the nhc is giving....
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 06, 2022 6:27 pm

7 PM TWO:

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles
east of Bermuda continues to produce gale-force winds and an area of
showers and thunderstorms displaced to the east of the center. If
shower activity re-develops closer to the center, a tropical storm
could form over the next couple of days while the system drifts
slowly through tomorrow and then moves northeastward over the
central Atlantic. The system is forecast to merge with a strong
cold front by the middle part of this week. Additional information
on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#23 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 07, 2022 6:56 am

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles east of
Bermuda continues to produce gale-force winds, but the associated
shower and thunderstorm activity remains displaced to the east of
the low's center due to strong upper-level winds. These conditions
are expected to remain unfavorable for development today but may
briefly become more favorable on Tuesday, and a short-lived
tropical storm could still form as the system begins to move
northward and then northeastward at about 10 mph. The low is then
forecast to merge with a cold front by the middle part of this week.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#24 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 07, 2022 8:17 am

AL, 97, 2022110712, , BEST, 0, 319N, 538W, 35, 1014, LO
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7281
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#25 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Nov 07, 2022 2:38 pm

What's funny is even with all the shear this too me at least looks better then nicole. having a well define LLC matters!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#26 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 07, 2022 6:28 pm

Bye.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles east of Bermuda is
producing winds near gale force, and a small area of showers and
thunderstorms far removed to the east of the low's surface center.
The system is accelerating northeastward toward cooler waters,
while remaining in a region of strong upper-level winds.
Consequently, the chance for significant development is quickly
diminishing. Additional information on this system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8030
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#27 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 07, 2022 7:00 pm

cycloneye wrote:Bye.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles east of Bermuda is
producing winds near gale force, and a small area of showers and
thunderstorms far removed to the east of the low's surface center.
The system is accelerating northeastward toward cooler waters,
while remaining in a region of strong upper-level winds.
Consequently, the chance for significant development is quickly
diminishing. Additional information on this system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

I wouldn’t give up on this one just yet. The HWRF is still adamant about a brief but name-worthy spin up tomorrow as shear drops.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7281
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#28 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:04 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1966
Age: 20
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#29 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Nov 08, 2022 2:41 pm

This invest is on the cusp of becoming a TC. It is now or never.
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1138
Age: 36
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#30 Postby FireRat » Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:48 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:This invest is on the cusp of becoming a TC. It is now or never.


Yea not bad looking, lets see if the NHC names it Owen by tomorrow. Stubborn low pres
0 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests