ATL: RINA - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

[Kazmit]

Feel like everyone is getting hurricane tracking fatigue with these OTS cape verde systems.

[cycloneye]

60% / 90%

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a
tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is
expected to form in 2-3 days as the system moves west-northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

[Hurricane2022]

Feel like everyone is getting tropical storm tracking fatigue with these OTS cape verde systems.

[Sciencerocks]

Feel like everyone is getting hurricane tracking fatigue with these OTS cape verde systems.

Yep, it is boring and a pain at times and we don't get nearly the data with them either. More so if it is a sheared piece of trash! I have a archives and have to take the loops to maintain that either way and it is a lot of work...So yeah.

[abajan]

It appears NHC'c Best Track site has been down for several hours. The last auto-update to the maps at CyclonicWx was over 12 hours ago (12z).

[abajan]

AL91's really kicking up a storm, though (no pun intended).

[cycloneye]

91L INVEST 230926 0000 10.5N 34.1W ATL 25 1010

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

2 AM:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
have shown little change in organization over the past several
hours. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in 2
to 3 days as the system moves west-northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

[cycloneye]

8 AM:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located several
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward across
the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/JimCantore/status/1706646336207028495

[abajan]

Circulation appears to be centered near 9N 34W:

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track:

91L INVEST 230926 1200 10.7N 37.1W ATL 25 1009

[cycloneye]

It appears NHC'c Best Track site has been down for several hours. The last auto-update to the maps at CyclonicWx was over 12 hours ago (12z).

The site is working again.

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/

[Sciencerocks]

[Iceresistance]

Literally eating Philippe's Moisture


https://s6.gifyu.com/images/S456k.gif

[Michele B]

Feel like everyone is getting tropical storm tracking fatigue with these OTS cape verde systems.

Maybe I'm just not as "into" tracking all the storms as some, but the only ones I really care about are the ones that might affect me personally. I mean, I do like to watch them and track them, watch them evolve and grow, but in the end, once I am certain it's an OTS storm, my interest is gone.

[Teban54]

Taking shape:

[ScottNAtlanta]

I'm not 100% sure this is OTS. It is awfully far south and Philippe is pretty weak so it doesn't look like it is going OTS either (though it will probably open up to a wave)