ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Ptarmigan]

I would not be surprised if Idalia becomes a major hurricane.

[GCANE]

Great presentation on radar showing the hot tower firing off, backing off a bit, and refiring.
Last frame shows a warm core developing, beginning of an eye, in the middle of that rotation.
Looks like it'll be a small eye - not good

https://bmcnoldy.rsmas.miami.edu/tropic ... 23_lbj.gif

[Keldeo1997]

 https://twitter.com/cyclonicwx/status/1695972446049112416

[chaser1]

HOLY CRAP Bomb over center!! Gone for four hours and boom!

[jdjaguar]

HOLY CRAP Bomb over center!! Gone for four hours and boom!

I agree with GCANE...a small eye may be beginning to form

[GCANE]

Looks like two trailing towers starting to form on the eyewall

[tropicwatch]

Buoy 42056 reporting 45mph winds sustained and pressure around 997mb. Will be interesting to see what the hh finds.

[wx98]

Very nice CDO forming with this. Based on the buoy reports would think this is probably gonna be around 50-55 kt and 990 mbar for the plane tonight.

[Hurricane2022]

Looks like the Dreaded Pinhole eye is on its way to Idalia...

[tolakram]

Great presentation on radar showing the hot tower firing off, backing off a bit, and refiring.
Last frame shows a warm core developing, beginning of an eye, in the middle of that rotation.
Looks like it'll be a small eye - not good

https://bmcnoldy.rsmas.miami.edu/tropic ... 23_lbj.gif

That is Cuban radar which is pretty far away from the center, so looking way way up at the mid to upper levels. Not sure we can judge eye size from this distance with that resolution. Recon will be most interesting this evening.

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/00Pinar%20del%20Rio/lbjMAXw01a.gif

[GCANE]

The radar return on the leading tower is getting stronger by the minute

[Hurrilurker]

Also check out the outflow starting, visible on the north side in IR. Looks like a shockwave from a bomb.

[Category5Kaiju]

At this point, all I'm going to say is that I'm getting more concerned about the West Coast of Florida, especially the Tampa Bay region, and really hope for the best for anybody in the danger zone. Idalia is not playing games at the moment.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://twitter.com/ATXHarrisonTran/status/1695976109123219465

[Fancy1002]

No model shows it being near eastern Cuba.

I think he meant western Cuba.

No mountains in western Cuba.

Cordillera de Guaniguanico

[chaser1]

When is recon scheduled on site?

[Craters]

Looks like the Dreaded Pinhole eye is on its way to Idalia...

There isn't any evidence of an eye in the infrared satellite — everything in the CDO still looks very cold to me. I would think that a look through the CDO all the way to the warm surface would be pretty easily seen in the IR images.

[GCANE]

Also check out the outflow starting, visible on the north side in IR. Looks like a shockwave from a bomb.

I think I have seen that once or twice before.
Great find.

[Iceresistance]

Oh buoy!

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php ... _label=EDT

Didn't it drop to 995 mb at its lowest?

[cycloneye]

When is recon scheduled on site?

Look at the banner at recon thread. Arrives around midnight.

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 9#p3037879