BoB: MOCHA - Post-Tropical

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Hurricane2022
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#101 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat May 13, 2023 12:13 pm

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#102 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 13, 2023 1:40 pm

XIO22 KNES 131817
TCSNIO

A. 01B (MOCHA)

B. 13/1730Z

C. 17.8N

D. 91.0E

E. ONE/MET-9

F. T7.0/7.0

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY CDG RING AND EMBEDDED IN CMG RESULTS
IN A DT OF 7.0 AFTER ADDING A 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT. 6 HR AVG DT IS 7.0. THE
MET IS 6.5 BASED ON A 24 HR STEADY TREND. THE PT AGREES WITH THE MET. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE 6 HOUR AVERAGE DT JUSTIFYING BREAKING THE CONTRAINTS
LIMITING THE FT TO A CHANGE IN 1.5 OVER 12 HOURS.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...GATLING
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#103 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat May 13, 2023 1:51 pm

01B MOCHA 230513 1800 17.8N 91.1E IO 130 923
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#104 Postby Iceresistance » Sat May 13, 2023 2:39 pm

Ryan Maue thinks this thing is at 155 knots, not mph.

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1657380980837998593


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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#105 Postby Teban54 » Sat May 13, 2023 2:48 pm

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#106 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sat May 13, 2023 4:04 pm


Really starting to axisymmetrize now.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#107 Postby doomhaMwx » Sat May 13, 2023 4:38 pm

The Lightning Mapping Imager (LMI) onboard the FengYun-4A satellite is detecting numerous lightning activity in Mocha's eyewall — typically an indication that intensification is ongoing.

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#108 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat May 13, 2023 4:51 pm

I'm wondering WHY the IMD refuses to upgrade Mokha to a SuCS.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#109 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 13, 2023 4:52 pm

Based on the satellite perspective and trends, I would personally assess the intensity at 150 kt. It's likely a very intense cyclone - if only we had Recon in it.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#110 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat May 13, 2023 4:56 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Based on the satellite perspective and trends, I would personally assess the intensity at 150 kt. It's likely a very intense cyclone - if only we had Recon in it.


A nation as rich as India should be able to afford a few planes. (third biggest gdp in the world). Hopefully one day they'll invest more in science and research.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#111 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat May 13, 2023 5:06 pm

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#112 Postby Kingarabian » Sat May 13, 2023 5:21 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:I'm wondering WHY the IMD refuses to upgrade Mokha to a SuCS.

IMD is very conservative.

Clearly a catastrophic situation for Bangladesh. Hopefully it weakens upon landfall as most systems do in this region.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#113 Postby mrbagyo » Sat May 13, 2023 5:48 pm

pressure as of 2100 utc
Cox's Bazar - 1001 hPa
Teknaf- 997 hPa

Sittwe - 1001 (as of 1800 utc)
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#114 Postby doomhaMwx » Sat May 13, 2023 5:54 pm

Long-range radar from Chittagong (Bangladesh) is now picking up the inner core. Some intense convection is associated with rainbands north of the center as well.

Image
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#115 Postby Mob1 » Sat May 13, 2023 6:17 pm

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#116 Postby AtlanticWind » Sat May 13, 2023 6:53 pm

A classic Ultra intense Hurricane ( cyclone) now.

It is going to be rough day for folks in that region.
Tough to watch this kind of situation unfold.
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#117 Postby Iceresistance » Sat May 13, 2023 7:12 pm



Fixed the tweet for you
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#118 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat May 13, 2023 7:46 pm

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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#119 Postby mrbagyo » Sat May 13, 2023 7:47 pm

Image
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Re: BoB: MOCHA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#120 Postby Subtrop » Sat May 13, 2023 7:47 pm

01B MOCHA 230514 0000 18.7N 91.8E IO 140 919
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