SIO: FABIEN - Post-Tropical

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#21 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 15, 2023 8:15 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#22 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon May 15, 2023 9:14 am

Easterly shear (mostly at mid-levels) still an issue here but it should subside soon.
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#23 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon May 15, 2023 12:29 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#24 Postby wxman57 » Mon May 15, 2023 12:36 pm

Looks a lot weaker than 100 mph, to me. Barely an eye on microwave imagery.
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#25 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 15, 2023 3:48 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#26 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon May 15, 2023 4:07 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#27 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 15, 2023 7:35 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#28 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 16, 2023 8:10 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#29 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 16, 2023 9:18 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#30 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 16, 2023 9:43 am



I think it's safe to say that Fabien is now a 3 or 4.
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#31 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue May 16, 2023 9:47 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#32 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue May 16, 2023 9:55 am

Are there any observations out of Diego Garcia? The British Indian Ocean Territory is rarely struck by storms - I can’t even find the last significant storm there. Anybody know?
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#33 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue May 16, 2023 10:05 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Intense Tropical Cyclone

#34 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue May 16, 2023 4:24 pm

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JTWC: 100 kt (1-min), 962 hPa
MFR: 90 kt (10-min), 962 hPa
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#35 Postby Kingarabian » Tue May 16, 2023 4:51 pm

This one too looks like it's on its way to Cat.4.
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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#36 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 16, 2023 5:52 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#37 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue May 16, 2023 6:43 pm

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#38 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed May 17, 2023 2:22 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#39 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 17, 2023 7:33 am

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Re: SIO: FABIEN - Tropical Cyclone

#40 Postby wxman57 » Wed May 17, 2023 10:00 am

JTWC's prognostic reasoning mentions all the reasons why Fabien has weakened significantly and then they keep wind at 90 kts. Looks like Fabian is barely 65 kts, if that. Fading fast.
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