ATL: ARLENE - Post-Tropical
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Floaters
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=925&y=1085&z=2&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=band_02&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=925&y=1085&z=2&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=band_02&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
It will be interesting if they upgrade it at 11 AM, unflagged 45 knot flight level winds and latest pressure down to 1001 mb, it trying to catch up to the convection.
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Based on recon positions, it seems to have been drifting ESE the past couple of hours.
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
I'm shocked they are not upgrading it, that's the lowest pressure I've ever seen out of TD in the Atlantic Basin, lol.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
wxman57 wrote:Very strong SW wind shear just south of the exposed center now. No Arlene with this system.
“Very strong SW wind shear” will probably be a repeatedly used phrase for Caribbean and Gulf systems this hurricane season as an El Niño looks to be in the way.
This system should get ripped apart over the next couple of days but should continue to pump in rain and moisture into Florida. Flood watch for South Florida.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
It is definitely tapping into the Loop Current.
Feeder band south of the CoC and over the Loop Current is starting to fire convection.
One big-ass hot tower and alarms may go off.
Feeder band south of the CoC and over the Loop Current is starting to fire convection.
One big-ass hot tower and alarms may go off.
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- Yellow Evan
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
FL, SFMR, and ASCAT (when factoring in instrument low bias - see Chou 2013) support tropical storm so I am confused why the NHC has not pulled the trigger. It was also really odd how the NHC blended Dvorak with real time aircraft observations.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Appears to be getting better organized and is almost certainly deserving of an upgrade. Fingers crossed.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
gatorcane wrote:wxman57 wrote:Very strong SW wind shear just south of the exposed center now. No Arlene with this system.
“Very strong SW wind shear” will probably be a repeatedly used phrase for Caribbean and Gulf systems this hurricane season as an El Niño looks to be in the way.
This system should get ripped apart over the next couple of days but should continue to pump in rain and moisture into Florida. Flood watch for South Florida.
Shear is actually below average for this time of the year across the GOM and Caribbean, with long range models showing near average to below average shear across the Caribbean through September, the reason most models show an above average season in the Atlantic.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
I don’t see this one lasting much longer, dry air pushing in from the north and strong UL SW shear. I think bones will be called out tonight.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Sciencerocks wrote:https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1664657018810949632
50 knots flight level winds a few minutes ago.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Better check the model runs to see if they made any big changes before starting the named system warning protocols.
Still Havana consensus as a shredded system?
Still Havana consensus as a shredded system?
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Unflagged 53 knot flight level wind at 2,400 feet, with no precipitation, time for an upgrade IMO.
162730 2717N 08622W 9245 00730 0061 +174 +173 040050 053 028 000 00
162730 2717N 08622W 9245 00730 0061 +174 +173 040050 053 028 000 00
Last edited by NDG on Fri Jun 02, 2023 11:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- Hurricane2022
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Re: ATL: TWO - Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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