ATL: MARGOT - Models

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cycloneye
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ATL: MARGOT - Models

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 05, 2023 7:42 am

Only model runs here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#2 Postby kevin » Tue Sep 05, 2023 7:46 am

Euro 00z ensemble

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#3 Postby WalterWhite » Tue Sep 05, 2023 8:08 am

kevin wrote:Euro 00z ensemble

https://i.imgur.com/iyxr2GU.png


The ECMWF is thinking this is going to be another 50-knot tropical storm in the Eastern Atlantic. Basically a Katia (2023) redux
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#4 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 05, 2023 1:37 pm

12z Euro isn’t a fan anymore and shows basically no development.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#5 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Sep 05, 2023 8:11 pm

All four hurricane models continue to make this a hurricane on the 18z runs. I still think this has a pretty good chance to develop and maybe become a hurricane despite the NHC lowering the odds slightly
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#6 Postby weeniepatrol » Tue Sep 05, 2023 8:21 pm

aspen wrote:12z Euro isn’t a fan anymore and shows basically no development.


over 75% of 12Z EPS members do in fact show development.

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over 80% of 18Z EPS members do in fact show development.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#7 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 11:52 am

12z GFS is very bullis with a bonifide hurricane.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#8 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 6:20 pm

Both GFS and Euro develop 96L and may have inplications on Lee on the track.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 10:58 pm

Once again, GFS develops 96L and to a hurricane.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 07, 2023 1:04 pm

GFS goes up to almost cat 2.

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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Models

#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:19 pm

What? Where is Margot going?

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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Models

#12 Postby shah83 » Sat Sep 16, 2023 12:52 am

There have been a number of runs showing Margot turning into a major storm for the British Isles, mostly extra-tropical, but a couple with some tropical aspects...
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