ATL: TAMMY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Papín is getting tired about tracks.

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1717321788626248137

[abajan]

They are mentioning it in TWO.

Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (former Tammy) associated with a
stationary front is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. There is a possibility this system could regain tropical
or subtropical characteristics while it meanders over the
northwestern Atlantic through early next week. Regardless of
development, the system has the potential to bring gusty winds and
heavy rainfall to Bermuda. Interests in the area should monitor the
progress of this system. For additional information, including gale
warnings, see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

I notice they haven't updated the graphic with the yellow shading to highlight the region of 30 percent formation chance.

[galaxy401]

They are mentioning it in TWO.

Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (former Tammy) associated with a
stationary front is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. There is a possibility this system could regain tropical
or subtropical characteristics while it meanders over the
northwestern Atlantic through early next week. Regardless of
development, the system has the potential to bring gusty winds and
heavy rainfall to Bermuda. Interests in the area should monitor the
progress of this system. For additional information, including gale
warnings, see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

I notice they haven't updated the graphic with the yellow shading to highlight the region of 30 percent formation chance.

Probably because it recently became post tropical and people waking up will see that it turned post tropical instead of being confused of seeing a yellow circle suddenly.

[cycloneye]

They are mentioning it in TWO.

Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (former Tammy) associated with a
stationary front is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. There is a possibility this system could regain tropical
or subtropical characteristics while it meanders over the
northwestern Atlantic through early next week. Regardless of
development, the system has the potential to bring gusty winds and
heavy rainfall to Bermuda. Interests in the area should monitor the
progress of this system. For additional information, including gale
warnings, see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

I notice they haven't updated the graphic with the yellow shading to highlight the region of 30 percent formation chance.

Is now there.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 26 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (former Tammy) associated with an
occluded front is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. There is a possibility that this system could regain
tropical or subtropical characteristics while it meanders over the
northwestern Atlantic through early next week. Regardless of
development, the system has the potential to bring gusty winds and
heavy rainfall to Bermuda during the next couple of days. Interests
in the area should monitor the progress of this system. For
additional information, including a hurricane-force wind warning,
see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

1. Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (formerly Tammy) associated with an
occluded front is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. This
system is forecast to become separated from the front during the
next day or so, and environmental conditions are forecast to become
more conducive for the low to regain tropical characteristics while
it meanders over the northwestern Atlantic to the east of Bermuda
through Saturday. Regardless of tropical redevelopment, the system
is likely to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to Bermuda during
the next couple of days. Interests on Bermuda should monitor the
progress of this system. For additional information, including storm
and gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[cycloneye]

Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (formerly Tammy) associated with an
occluded front is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda.
This low is forecast to become separated from the front soon, and
conditions appear favorable for the system to redevelop into a
tropical storm later today or Saturday. Regardless of tropical
redevelopment, the system is likely to bring gusty winds to Bermuda
during the next day or so, and a gale warning is in effect for
the island. Interests on Bermuda should monitor the progress of
this system. For additional information, including storm and gale
warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

[cycloneye]

Tammy is back!!

Tropical Storm Tammy Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202023
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 27 2023

...TAMMY REDEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...

[tolakram]

Ha, I was going to post this loop and say I think it's fully tropical again.

[tolakram]

long loop

[Sciencerocks]

[tolakram]

saved loop

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Breezy day here. Dry. No power outages. Bit of a dud.

[Sciencerocks]

[Sciencerocks]

[Sciencerocks]

[Sciencerocks]