ATL: TAMMY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ThunderForce]

Movement looks slightly more northward than westward (with some wobbles to the west) at the end of this to me?

[Sciencerocks]

[galaxy401]

Maybe Tammy wants to avoid the Caribbean considering how almost nothing has occurred there all season. Fill the quota of 0 hurricanes in that region.

[AnnularCane]

Maybe Tammy wants to avoid the Caribbean considering how almost nothing has occurred there all season. Fill the quota of 0 hurricanes in that region.

Must be a reason most of the other storms have avoided it like the plague this year. Something sinister, perhaps...

[Landy]

Center is passing very near--if not over--Barbuda based on recent radar frames. Unlucky.

[Landy]

 https://twitter.com/268Weather/status/1715892826842562632

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1715897161055920178

[Landy]

Direct landfall thanks to a west wobble.

[Landy]

Hurricane Tammy Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202023
915 PM AST Sat Oct 21 2023

...TAMMY MAKES LANDFALL IN BARBUDA...

Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations indicate that the
center of Hurricane Tammy has made landfall on the island of
Barbuda. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 85 mph (140
km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 990 mb
(29.23 inches).

SUMMARY OF 915 PM AST...0115 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 61.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Pasch

[Sciencerocks]

[Landy]

 https://twitter.com/jmoulfrancis/status/1715907808074289289

[Landy]

Max wind measurement on Barbuda is 77.7kt 2-min sustained at Hannah Thomas Hospital.
 https://twitter.com/268Weather/status/1715912946994278636

[Hurricane Mike]

11pm Video Update on Hurricane Tammy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h5dVv-dFrdI

[Chris90]

That convective burst formed and peaked right over Barbuda with a very strong lightning signature. That is just really bad luck. 6 years ago this name list gave them Irma. Hopefully that burst wasn't too damaging, I'm not sure how well they've even recovered since Irma. I believe after Irma everyone on the island had to evacuate for a certain amount of time because the damage was so bad.

Thankfully Tammy isn't nearly as strong as Irma, so I hope that burst wasn't too bad and everyone there is doing OK.

[MarioProtVI]

Recon indicates this has probably weakened a bit since landfall. Probably down to 65 kt now instead the supposed 75 kt the 06z BT / 2am intermediate have it as.

[ThunderForce]

The latest NHC forecast at 5 AM AST still lists Tammy as having maximum sustained winds of 85 mph.

[aspen]

Tammy might’ve briefly weakened below hurricane status. Recon supports 60 kt maximum. However, I expect it to become a hurricane again as part of its waxing and waning fluctuations.

[msbee]

Good morning. Thankfully Tammy has been a non event on St Maarten and Anguilla.

[Sciencerocks]

[USVIKimmie]

Good morning. Thankfully Tammy has been a non event on St Maarten and Anguilla.

For now - rain is coming