ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[5t0rmsguy]

Looks like a formative giant west pac typhoon

WPAC SSTs and heat content and you get WPAC systems, I guess.

https://i.imgur.com/g9i9EPb.png

This is a bit ridiculous.

is this super above normal? I dont really know what the normal temp is supposed to be...

[Nuno]

At this trajectory, I don't think it's going to come onto the Yucatan. It looks to moving through the gap...

[LAMOM]

I literally have been stalking for so long on here and not logging in that I had to reset my password because I forgot it...just so I could say...you are not the only one who thought that. When I saw the earlier graphic, I literally said outloud...dang that pic looks like an ultrasound of a fetus.

Edit.. Sorry...it seems I have forgotten how to reply to a specific comment.

[ROCK]

Dropsonde missed the center. 990mb with 17 knot winds.

990mb (29.24 inHg)

That would support a pressure of 988 mb.

they are going in for another pass it looks like...I saw 989 in one of the obs before the center drop thou I am not much into reading recon data....

[Frank P]

Hot Towers going off like a WW2 bombing raid over Germany.

[Woofde]

Looks like a formative giant west pac typhoon

WPAC SSTs and heat content and you get WPAC systems, I guess.

https://i.imgur.com/g9i9EPb.png

This is a bit ridiculous.

is this super above normal? I dont really know what the normal temp is supposed to be...

It's 1.5c to 2c above average, and it runs deep. That's a lot of energy.

[Frank P]

A different look from sat images

[robbielyn]

Looks to be close to stacked, might be some vortices still swirling around.

https://i.imgur.com/Gl41LRs.gif

source: https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... aw_width=6

Shrimpin it up, a classic look of a storm rapidly intensifying

It looks weirdly like a fetus to me

Doesn’t though more like a baby in the womb than a shrimp

[Kazmit]

WPAC SSTs and heat content and you get WPAC systems, I guess.

https://i.imgur.com/g9i9EPb.png

This is a bit ridiculous.

is this super above normal? I dont really know what the normal temp is supposed to be...

It's 1.5c to 2c above average, and it runs deep. That's a lot of energy.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20240925/f7fb31dcb9119db68b7522953fd9e244.jpg

That’s wild. Not a spot in the tropical Atlantic with below normal or even near normal SSTs.

[NDG]

I guess during the past 2-3 hours the LLC has been meandering around probably tracking to align itself with the MLC.

[pcolaman]

A different look from sat images
https://i.ibb.co/sCNFp5H/goes16-glm-09-L.gif

Looks like major moisture vacuum!! You can see it all the way around . This is going to be a big powerful storm with effects felt a long way from the center once in the Gulf. I remember seeing something pages back about Hellene taking up the whole Gulf . Really hoping this doesn't happen.

[tolakram]

saved loop

source: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined

[ScottNAtlanta]

I guess during the past 2-3 hours the LLC has been meandering around probably tracking to align itself with the MLC.

https://i.imgur.com/5yGEXOv.png

The 3rd center fix was even further sw from the first 2...I don't know what is causing that. It's hard to see at night

[Bigpapa]

To my untrained eyes this looks like it will pass thru near the middle of the channel, correct me I am wrong

[typhoonty]

I've said it before and I'll say it again. I think this will finally be the storm to change the cone to a wider error percentage. I flew on a plane to Tampa today and people were mostly nonchalant thinking Tampa would be spared with hardly any impact. I think the magnitude of the storm surge coming to the west coast is going to catch a lot of people off guard.

The general public perception remains that the cone is an impacts cone.

[Xyls]

So do we think Helene will possibly be the worst hurricane to ever hit Tallahassee?

[ScottNAtlanta]

I think this will give Opal a run for her money in the ATL Metro

[wx98]

So do we think Helene will possibly be the worst hurricane to ever hit Tallahassee?

Haven’t heard anyone say that and honestly impossible to determine until after the fact.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Local news (Atlanta)


Link: https://youtube.com/watch?v=QMSL1ChwR0k

[wx98]

I think this will give Opal a run for her money in the ATL Metro

For Georgia, this could rival or exceed Zeta around Birmingham and/or Opal over SE AL/GA.