ATL: LESLIE - Models
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WeatherBoy2000
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
The icon has really soured on Leslie, probably an overreaction, but the downtrend is undeniable across nearly all models.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
WeatherBoy2000 wrote:The icon has really soured on Leslie, probably an overreaction, but the downtrend is undeniable across nearly all models.
Haven't checked on Leslie in a while, but I suppose it's mostly because of track (right over Kirk's cold wake) and not other conditions?
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
Teban54 wrote:WeatherBoy2000 wrote:The icon has really soured on Leslie, probably an overreaction, but the downtrend is undeniable across nearly all models.
Haven't checked on Leslie in a while, but I suppose it's mostly because of track (right over Kirk's cold wake) and not other conditions?
Looks like it’s due to taking the exact same path as Kirk and upwelling its cold wake.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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MarioProtVI
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
Remember the time when models showed Leslie tracking further west, instead of straight up Kirk's cold wake? They were extremely bullish with it back then, and EPS repeatedly had runs with some members showing a sub-900 system.
That time frame was roughly similar to right now.
In an alternative universe... Could we have been looking at two sub-900 hurricanes concurrently?
That time frame was roughly similar to right now.
In an alternative universe... Could we have been looking at two sub-900 hurricanes concurrently?
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
Hurricane models have quietly added support for a Cat 2 peak in 30-40 hours.
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