ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

Steering currents look pretty set for now, just a matter of small deviations to the left or right at this point.

[GulfHills]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

[eastcoastFL]

This buoy is about 125 miles NE of Helene’s center. Gusting over 50kts right now


Station 42026 - C22 - Loop Current Pressure Point Buoy

[eastcoastFL]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

I don’t know who Mike is but I’d follow the NHC, always. Anyone in Tally needs to be prepared for a catastrophic hurricane at this point.

[Teban54]

Recon flying in

Guess the pressure

Win a prize

968

Man I almost went with 969. This hurricane is getting smothered in dry air. You're not supposed to get outflow boundaries off your eyewall's convection.

May it continue to choke

This was from 4 hours ago. Helene has been deepening at 2.4 mb / hr since then, and all indications of dry air near the core are basically gone. So yeah, the dry air calls aged like milk.

[kevin]

The eastern half of Helene now has TS conditions for a region of 550 nm or 630 miles (250 NE, 300 SE). That is an enormous wind field, for example more than twice as big as Ian's eastern half TS conditions of 260 nm of 300 miles (120 NE, 140 SE) at landfall. Helen's impact will be felt across the entire state of Florida and people need to be aware that the storm's impacts will be felt across a larger region than people are used to with hurricanes.

[eastcoastFL]

Recon 965mb eye drop at 24.1 86.1 with 11kts of wind.

[derpbynature]

Almost looks like two storms on top of one another with that circular-ish northern lobe

[ineedsnow]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

no offense but I highly doubt he said that.. maybe he said it could be? he's usually pretty darn good and cant find anywhere that he said it

https://spaghettimodels.com/

[redingtonbeach]

Stunning graphic showing an incredible 75 mile northerly inland Cat 3 wind path. For all Floridians who say things like “Gainesville is safest city in Florida for hurricanes” or “I’m 40 miles inland from the coast- no need to board up as the Cat 3 will be a Cat 1 by the time it gets here” type of thoughts. Clearly Helena’s forward motion is faster than most cains but to see a 75 mile inland track without abatement to winds should be a mind blowing wakeup call to us all.

https://pasteboard.co/BuxeYAS5Ed6j.png

[robbielyn]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

I don’t know who Mike is but I’d follow the NHC, always. Anyone in Tally needs to be prepared for a catastrophic hurricane at this point.

Mike lives in clearwater has his own YT channel. Has a great following. He won an award for helping the community with weather info. he is not a met but knows all the top mets and tv mets they all respect him. he is on the road now chasing Helene. he is not a young man but maybe late 30s he has a family. he’s good friends with denis philips and mike clay. he has been doing this over 20 years so he is well respected. He doesn’t overhype cat 5nwas in the cards and he will adjust accordingly. he wants people to respect this storm and get out of harms way. but yes he is humble says listen to nhc he is just an enthusiast

[Teban54]

[Cat5James]

I notice the total accumulated precipitation totals continue to drop for the peninsula run to run... too much dry air?

[Keldeo1997]

Eyewall is closed per recon

[StormPyrate]

This buoy is about 125 miles NE of Helene’s center. Gusting over 50kts right now


Station 42026 - C22 - Loop Current Pressure Point Buoy

I am watching this one in Tampa. Right in the path and will go down at some point I bet
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42036

[robbielyn]

I notice the total accumulated precipitation totals continue to drop for the peninsula run to run... too much dry air?

Yes u can see the hugh lack of rain bands cuz of the dry air. we don’t need the rain so if it cuts down on easy rain bands that’s a good thing there r more bands coming. i dont know if they will fill in or not where the dry air is.

[kevin]

NOAA3 just left and is already measuring TS winds (both FL and SFMR) off the coast of Tampa.

[xironman]

Eye back to normal

F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 32 nautical miles (37 statute miles

[jlauderdal]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

Mikes weather is a source of info for "entertainment", NHC is the source you want to use when making decisions. Tell your grown kids to use "official" sources.

[MetsIslesNoles]

I need advise. My grown kids live in Tallahassee. They follow Mike's Weather page ( I don't, been a member here for 20 years.) They are freaking out because he's saying a catastrophic CAT 5. I told them don't listen to him just follow NHC or come here. What are your thoughts on this Mike's weather?

I don’t know who Mike is but I’d follow the NHC, always. Anyone in Tally needs to be prepared for a catastrophic hurricane at this point.

Mike lives in clearwater has his own YT channel. Has a great following. He won an award for helping the community with weather info. he is not a met but knows all the top mets and tv mets they all respect him. he is on the road now chasing Helene. he is not a young man but maybe late 30s he has a family. he’s good friends with denis philips and mike clay. he has been doing this over 20 years so he is well respected. He doesn’t overhype cat 5nwas in the cards and he will adjust accordingly. he wants people to respect this storm and get out of harms way. but yes he is humble says listen to nhc he is just an enthusiast

He was also busy posting photos from the bat saying he was going Cat 4 last night and Tallahassee has no idea what’s coming.