ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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jlauderdal
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2361 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:21 am

Frank P wrote:
Bamagirl2408 wrote:
Frank P wrote:

Actually, it was Mike Seidel who was videoed struggling with the winds while the two boys walking normally in the background with no troubles standing up :D


Well Dang!!!! in my mind it was Cantore! Still liking the new channel discovery for coverage.

I never watch TWC but I might check out FOX weather, I like to watch the local news of the affected areas, videos from webcams, and especially those crazy storm trackers. Trackers really get some incredible videos of the storms as they come inland. Hope they are extra cautious in the low-lying areas of the Big Bend, and probably need to stay out of that area.


Local news apps on your tv is the way to go...WINK-Fort Myers/Naples, ABC for the infamous Denis Phillips-Tampa...24x7, no commercials with local coverage
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2362 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:23 am

TORNADO WATCH 683 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE
CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO
GLADES HARDEE HENDRY
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PALM BEACH PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE
ST. LUCIE SUMTER VOLUSIA
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2363 Postby Michele B » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:24 am

Bamagirl2408 wrote:
Frank P wrote:
Bamagirl2408 wrote:Good morning- watching from Mobile. Not sure if any of you have this channel but recent subscriber to youtube tv and they have Fox Weather that is like the TWC but better. Less hype. Mike Seidel, Bryan Norcross and others on it. Less theatrics. Enjoyed much better during Francine coverage. No one pretending they cannot stand while citizens walk dogs in the background.

Actually, it was Mike Seidel who was videoed struggling with the winds while the two boys walking normally in the background with no troubles standing up :D


Well Dang!!!! in my mind it was Cantore! Still liking the new channel discovery for coverage.


I thought it was Cantore, too.

So if it was Seidel, was he canned? Is that why he's on Fox Weather now?
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2364 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:24 am

Gravity waves on the cirrus outflow from the hot-tower on the SE eyewall.
Hard to see this slowing down prior to landfall.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2365 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:24 am

With this next pass, I expect the hurricane to have now entered the sub 960s in pressure. We will see in a few minutes.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2366 Postby HurricaneBelle » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:25 am

This storm may yet go east of forecast with all the S2Kers pushing it in that direction.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2367 Postby technikal » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:25 am

caneman wrote:
technikal wrote:Woke up relieved here in Tally. Same eyewall problems from last night persisted into the morning. The window for RI is rapidly closing and it still doesn’t look close to having that symmetry and tight eyewall for a true boom.

Knock on wood but feeling pretty confident we avoid a high end major.


Huh? Are you hitting the sauce early? Lol


When you go to bed expecting a primed and ready cat 4 in the middle of RI, waking up to its current look is a relief lol. Still fully prepping for a bad storm but it doesn’t have the look of a potential cat 5 right now, with its current structure and time remaining for RI.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2368 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:25 am

Image

Unfortunately this lower level structure look favors a high end storm. Best it has ever looked.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2369 Postby Majek » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:26 am

Michele B wrote:
Bamagirl2408 wrote:
Frank P wrote:

Actually, it was Mike Seidel who was videoed struggling with the winds while the two boys walking normally in the background with no troubles standing up :D


Well Dang!!!! in my mind it was Cantore! Still liking the new channel discovery for coverage.


I thought it was Cantore, too.

So if it was Seidel, was he canned? Is that why he's on Fox Weather now?

Mike Seidel's position was eliminated at the Weather Channel along with many others.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2370 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:27 am

Strong cell going across W Shore of Lake O.
TVS signatures keep coming up on it
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2371 Postby Frank P » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:27 am

First light
Image
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2372 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:28 am

tolakram wrote:I said I had Ike vibes last night, not getting any better. Giant lumbering storm with strong winds well away from the center. I hope people don't underestimate how even an ugly Helene is going to bring a lot of chaos to the coast AND well inland. The Saffir Simpson scale is useless with these giant storms IMO.


Agreed. The widespread TS force winds will lead to large scale power outages and perhaps more importantly, the storm surge. The surge isn't going to be isolated near the COC with some of these intense smaller storms. It will be far reaching along the west coast and will likely surprise many people who chose to ride out the storm.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2373 Postby HurricaneBelle » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:29 am

technikal wrote:When you go to bed expecting a primed and ready cat 4 in the middle of RI, waking up to its current look is a relief lol. Still fully prepping for a bad storm but it doesn’t have the look of a potential cat 5 right now, with its current structure and time remaining for RI.


Seeing this post followed by one with this image is the height of irony.

Image
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2374 Postby Steve » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:29 am

southmdwatcher wrote:I thought the 500mb upper low was supposed to cut off over Arkansas or Oklahoma. It is currently hanging out over western Kentucky and Tennessee. Wouldn't that force the track of Helene not just 30 to 50 miles east, but much more?


It’s been migrating east on the models since last weekend. I think it means that it catches it earlier and pulls it north inland a bit sooner than it might have if it had less influence.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2375 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:29 am

2500 CAPE in the core.
She will head into a large CAPE ridge west of Tampa.
That is currently at 3500
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2376 Postby wx98 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:30 am

redingtonbeach wrote:Looking more and more like a Cedar Key’’ish landfall.

That would be considerably far east of NHC track/cone. That much error is unlikely.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2377 Postby Bamagirl2408 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:30 am

Michele B wrote:
Bamagirl2408 wrote:
Frank P wrote:

Actually, it was Mike Seidel who was videoed struggling with the winds while the two boys walking normally in the background with no troubles standing up :D


Well Dang!!!! in my mind it was Cantore! Still liking the new channel discovery for coverage.


I thought it was Cantore, too.

So if it was Seidel, was he canned? Is that why he's on Fox Weather now?


I thought he was cut sometime around Covid in a layoff. No idea!
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2378 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:31 am

Recon on the runway ready to roll
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2379 Postby kevin » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:32 am

Another recon on the way, great coverage by NHC and recon on Helene so far. We like to complain when recon is malfunctioning, but it's also good to mention it when things are going well :).
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2380 Postby wx98 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 7:34 am

Bamagirl2408 wrote:Good morning- watching from Mobile. Not sure if any of you have this channel but recent subscriber to youtube tv and they have Fox Weather that is like the TWC but better. Less hype. Mike Seidel, Bryan Norcross and others on it. Less theatrics. Enjoyed much better during Francine coverage. No one pretending they cannot stand while citizens walk dogs in the background.


Funny enough that was actually Seidel on TWC…
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