ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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craptacular
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2361 Postby craptacular » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:22 pm

Kermit is coming in from the ENE, so remember they are not likely sampling the strongest winds on this pass.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2362 Postby CycloysisNegative » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:22 pm

I’ll be that guy and say 900mb :P
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2363 Postby Pelicane » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:22 pm

898 mb - 180 mph would be my guess.
Last edited by Pelicane on Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2364 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:22 pm

In regards to a question about this transitioning to an annular hurricane: near zero chance.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:30 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2365 Postby Zonacane » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

I’ll go 892mb 175 knots
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2366 Postby Abdullah » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

They're consistently moving the expected landfall time farther and farther back

It used to be 2 PM Wednesday and now it's 2 AM Thursday.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2367 Postby lovingseason2013 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

Kingarabian wrote:In regards to a question about this transitioning to an annual hurricane: near zero chance.


Good call, I don't see it happening every year either. I say 899mb
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2368 Postby zal0phus » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

901 mb, 185 mph. My heart is beating so fast right now
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2369 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

Eye is about to disappear on IR. I would say EWRC.

https://tropicwatch.info/1007242022z.mp4
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2370 Postby Chemmers » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:23 pm

aspen wrote:Place your bets everyone, what will recon find?

I’m going with the very lowest 900s with evidence of an outer eyewall.


Think 889
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2371 Postby GCANE » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:24 pm

chaser1 wrote:


Right about now, that pilot is wishing he hadn't just eaten that cold whopper that he picked up at Burger King before the flight


No need for a diaper though. I am sure he is at max pucker factor.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2372 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:24 pm

KWT wrote:The presentation is starting to look like some of the more extreme examples in history of tropical cyclones.

As others have said, wouldn't be shocked to see it down in the 890s...


KWT! Missed ya man! Where the heck ya been over the last few years? :)
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2373 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:24 pm

I'll go with a 903 pressure
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2374 Postby wx98 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

Time for the big pass. Has it weakened or intensified?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2375 Postby sicktght311 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

My guess 895/190mph
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2376 Postby Exalt » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

Kingarabian wrote:In regards to a question about this transitioning to an annual hurricane: near zero chance.


I think the chances of this NOT being retired went out the window the second this thing upped into Cat 5 territory period, let alone Haiyan/Patricia levels of terror. I think at the very best case scenario this thing drops to a high-end Cat 4, which, after an EWRC (which doesn't seem to be hindering it much at all), will likely be worse than Katrina, unless conditions just absolutely sh*t the bed.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2377 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

aspen wrote:Place your bets everyone, what will recon find?

I’m going with the very lowest 900s with evidence of an outer eyewall.


897mb
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2378 Postby ROCK » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

PavelGaborik10 wrote:I'll go with a 903 pressure



903-905 seems reasonable..just not feeling sub 900...
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2379 Postby chaser1 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:25 pm

Exalt wrote:
aspen wrote:Place your bets everyone, what will recon find?

I’m going with the very lowest 900s with evidence of an outer eyewall.


889mb, 190MPH.


That was my guess a couple hours ago. That's fine, I'll share :lol:
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2380 Postby Sunnydays » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:26 pm

i'll go with 900mb 190 mph.
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