ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[wx98]

Wow. Knew it was coming back but extrapolated pressure is much lower than I expected…

[Woofde]

Watch out Rita, Milton might be coming for your record if it keeps this up. Jeez...

[gailwarning]

Man the surge into Charlotte Harbor and Ft.Myers beach is going to be bad with the new NHC track. Hopefully everyone got out!!

I'm waiting and hoping my part time neighbors, who live in Fort Meyers, show up here in north GA. They're not on FMB, but it took two years to get their house repaired after Ian.

[cheezyWXguy]

AF303 1614A MILTON HDOB 14 20241008
210230 2241N 08731W 7014 02321 9101 +185 +148 338082 126 177 014 03
210300 2241N 08728W 6938 02372 9047 +226 +115 319034 055 059 004 03
210330 2242N 08727W 6957 02329 9024 +236 +106 318007 025 039 001 03
210400 2244N 08726W 6946 02360 9066 +199 +122 080021 025 043 003 00
210430 2245N 08725W 6985 02338 9100 +187 +130 094036 038 044 003 00
210500 2245N 08724W 6993 02302 9070 +198 +128 120034 038 050 000 03
210530 2243N 08723W 6957 02327 9026 +230 +112 170048 056 060 001 00
210600 2243N 08722W 6959 02346 9061 +205 +124 185080 091 115 000 00
210630 2242N 08720W 6942 02411 9141 +142 //// 193116 133 151 006 01
210700 2242N 08719W 6962 02532 //// +101 //// 194151 159 153 027 01
210730 2241N 08717W 6920 02692 //// +104 //// 192145 159 142 029 01
210800 2241N 08716W 6950 02740 //// +116 //// 193133 139 117 001 01
210830 2241N 08714W 6959 02792 //// +112 //// 194124 130 107 003 01
210900 2240N 08713W 6933 02859 //// +110 //// 194116 121 094 014 01
210930 2239N 08712W 6963 02846 9678 +111 //// 192109 111 088 005 01
211000 2239N 08711W 6942 02894 //// +103 //// 197104 108 085 005 01
211030 2238N 08710W 6954 02899 //// +099 //// 202100 102 080 006 01
211100 2237N 08710W 6946 02925 //// +098 //// 205094 099 075 008 01
211130 2236N 08709W 6955 02930 9768 +100 //// 206091 093 075 007 01
211200 2235N 08708W 6946 02950 9778 +105 //// 210091 091 070 006 01

902.4mb extrap / 159kt FL winds / 153kt SFMR

159kt is a little low to justify 150kt on its own, but multiple corroborating SFMRs should lock it in. Very impressive

[weeniepatrol]

[Charleswachal]

my guess for center fix will be 175 mph winds with 903 mb pressure

Pretty dang close to my guess

[CrazyC83]

With that data, I'd go with 150 kt, although 155 kt might be reasonable too.

[MarioProtVI]

This actually could be the real peak. Unbelievable

[FLpanhandle91]

That's 902.4 with 39kts of surface wind. Likely in the 899-900 range. Waiting for sonde.

[ConvergenceZone]

Man, every ime I try and post an image I uploaded to an image site and use the IMG tag, it show up as a broken image. Not sure how you guys are doing it and having success. I give up lol.

[Ken711]

Man, every ime I try and post an image I uploaded to an image site and use the IMG tag, it show up as a broken image, I give up lol.

I've had the same problem.

[Zonacane]

Any bets on what recon finds? I’m going with 905mb 150 Knots

Right on target

[Iceresistance]

We have reached T7.5 on ADT that has the scene type of "EYE"


https://s1.gifyu.com/images/SBlTa.png

[ConvergenceZone]

Man, every ime I try and post an image I uploaded to an image site and use the IMG tag, it show up as a broken image, I give up lol.

I've had the same problem.

Perhaps you have to have admin privs in order to post images, that's the only thing I can think of.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Man, every ime I try and post an image I uploaded to an image site and use the IMG tag, it show up as a broken image, I give up lol.

I've had the same problem.

Perhaps you have to have admin privs in order to post images, that's the only thing I can think of.

You are linking to the web host, not the direct image.

[FireRat]

Absolute Madness! This is terrible news for Florida, it is not out of the question it will strike as a Cat 5. Cat 4 looks likely at this rate.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Absolute Madness! This is terrible news for Florida, it is not out of the question it will strike as a Cat 5. Cat 4 looks likely at this rate.

Cat 5 landfall is not anticipated

[FireRat]

2nd peak incoming, if this thing is really sitting around 900 mb, we are in big trouble.

[Hammy]

This is going below yesterday's minimum isn't it

[ConvergenceZone]

I've had the same problem.

Perhaps you have to have admin privs in order to post images, that's the only thing I can think of.

You are linking to the web host, not the direct image.

good call. I just realized that as well. Will repost thanks