ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nederlander]

Those two towers are beginning to wrap into each other.

Recon heading in and I am betting that convective blow up will drop the pressure a decent amount

[Steve]

Glad Levi confirmed as that’s what I thought I was seeing else there were multiple spins within that large radius of low pressure.

Sorry Lake Jackson maybe?

[capNstorms]

this system hard time fighting dry air to west center cannot close up to be hurr i think must maybe is high end ts or weak hurr cat 1

that dry air is far off to the west in central Texas, the inner core has a moisture wall around it right now, there isn't dry air getting into the center

[IcyTundra]

Glad Levi confirmed as that’s what I thought I was seeing else there were multiple spins within that large radius of low pressure.

Sorry Lake Jackson maybe?

I'm thinking halfway between Sargent and Freeport/Lake Jackson.

[wx98]

Looks like a much smaller eye is about to close off towards the top of the large eye on radar.

I’m noticing that as well

This area ended up rotating around the actual center it seems…

[Hurrilurker]

Those two towers are beginning to wrap into each other.

Recon heading in and I am betting that convective blow up will drop the pressure a decent amount

I'm seeing 984 (uncorrected) in latest pass. Lower but not explosively so.

[ROCK]

Yes, I’ve been tracking it for over 4 hours and it’s still NNW to NW.

Both recon fixed a movement almost due north

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/mgxQfgRr/image.png [/url]

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/dtZ8xTbX/image.png [/url]

And now a NNE fix. Its been moving N to NNE for a while and likely going to bring it much closer to Houston than models thought. Luckily this isn't intensifying as much as hurricane models expected at the moment.

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/wBFHJ2ks/image.png [/url]

Actually the ICON thought right for awhile now....lol

[aspen]

Pressure still seems constant in the mid-upper 980s despite the convective bursts.

[Steve]

guy has his antenna tilted too far. Nevermind.

[capNstorms]

the bottom of the Rainbow Bridge in Bridge City, TX, on Port Arthur side is already starting to Flood, down to one lane. The surge will be felt for miles down the coast

[jabman98]

Actually the ICON thought right for awhile now....lol

Was gonna say.... The ICON had it figured out days ago. Wonder what it saw that others didn't.

A friend of mine is supposed to be in Freeport right now. Good thing they postponed their trip.

[tolakram]

[ConvergenceZone]

If you would have told me 2 days ago that this still wouldn't be a hurricane the night before landfall I would have never believed you lol.

[Steve]

Tornado Doppler indicated in that 3rd band. But it’s really just south of lake Jackson. That’s where those bands have the cells separating as the bands rotate in. Gonna be a Rocky night.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

From NHC 10pm CDT Sunday discussion in terms of movement:

The long-term motion of Beryl is north-northwestward at about 9 kt,
but recent radar and aircraft fixes have shown a motion just east of
due north. A northward motion overnight is expected to bring the
center of Beryl inland along the middle Texas coast roughly between
Matagorda Bay and Freeport early on Monday morning.

[copano]

Glad Levi confirmed as that’s what I thought I was seeing else there were multiple spins within that large radius of low pressure.

Sorry Lake Jackson maybe?

I'm thinking halfway between Sargent and Freeport/Lake Jackson.

That's a pretty big shift at this point

[IcyTundra]

Glad Levi confirmed as that’s what I thought I was seeing else there were multiple spins within that large radius of low pressure.

Sorry Lake Jackson maybe?

I'm thinking halfway between Sargent and Freeport/Lake Jackson.

That's a pretty big shift at this point

Not really that location is still in the cone as of 10 PM.

[Steve]

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

Best it looked all night. See if it keeps looking better into landfall.

[Tireman4]

As Beryl is making her approach to the middle Texas coast, I will readily admit, I loathe night/ early morning land falling hurricanes.

[LadyBug72]

As Beryl is making her approach to the middle Texas coast, I will readily admit, I loathe night/ early morning land falling hurricanes.

Me too! Stay safe Tireman!